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yanan · 2024年10月01日

前面有一个经典题,不选intrday trading,这一题又选的原因是什么呢

NO.PZ2023100703000041

问题如下:

A portfolio risk analyst, who specializes in large capitalization US stocks, is backtesting the firm’s VaR model using two procedures: Procedure A: Using the “actual return” approach ,the analyst measures the returns on a portfolio based upon the change in market values of the assets hold in the portfolio from the close of each business day to the close of the next business day. Procedure B: Using the “hypothetical return” approach ,the analyst measures the returns on a portfolio based upon the change in market values of the assets held in the portfolio from the close of each business day to the close of the next business day, keeping all positions fixed. The two procedures result in significantly different numbers of exceptions. The most likely cause of the different number of exceptions is:

选项:

A.Poor calibration of the VaR model. B.Intraday trading in the portfolios. C.Incorrect return distribution assumptions used in Procedure A. D.The reduction of hypothetical returns by commission fees.

解释:

This is because intraday trading would affect the actual return (Procedure A) but would not be accounted for in the hypothetical return (Procedure B). Thus, the discrepancies in exceptions between the two methods would likely arise from the presence of intraday trading.

前面有一个经典题,说的是主要是模型不准确

1 个答案

pzqa39 · 2024年10月03日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


procejure B 最后加了一个前提条件:keeping all positions fixed. 这个指的是无论当天收盘价如何变动,始终保持投资组合中各个产品的权重不变,也就是要做买卖调整:涨的多的要卖出一些,跌的多的要买入一些。


而procejure A 是没有这个keeping all positions fixed的,也就不做任何买卖调整。那么这两个方案带来巨大差异,差异的原因自然是交易日期间资产价格变动带来的交易行为,B选项正确。


这道题是问这两种方法导致例外的个数不一样是因为什么,这和我们讲义里学习过的backtesting的方法不是一个考点,讲义里学的是利用统计的办法计算例外的个数,而这个题是给了两种情况让你来分析为啥计算出的例外的个数不一样,要就题来分析具体的原因,找出题目给的这两种方法的不同。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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