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yan · 2024年09月26日

为什么B不对

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NO.PZ202301280200000202

问题如下:

Which of the following assumptions best supports the validity of Davidson’s work in asset allocation?

选项:

A.

Asset class returns are mean-reverting

B.

Asset prices largely follow a random walk

C.

Asset class returns exhibit trending behavior

解释:

The underlying assumption of Davidson’s work examining value and momentum factors is that value and momentum phenomena are present at the asset class level and can be used in making tactical asset allocation decisions across asset classes. For this to be an effective tactical asset allocation tool, Davidson must believe that asset classes can trend positively or negatively for some time before changing course (i.e., that they exhibit trending behavior) and that the recent past may contain information relevant to tactical shifts in asset allocation.

Valuation metrics (which Davidson does not consider) are useful if asset class returns are mean-reverting. That is, the comparison of current valuations to historical averages may signal the potential for a reversal or for above-average future returns.



为什么B不对

1 个答案

Lucky_品职助教 · 2024年09月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好:


value 和 momentum,都是使用多因素模型(multi-factor model)对股票进行估值中,广泛被使用的 factors,既然被用作在估值当中,就意味着使用者会预先假,设通过对这些 factors的分析,能够找到股票价格的运行规律,从而赚取收益。但是B选项的意思是,资产价格基本上遵循随机游走,也就是没有规律可循,那如果在这种前提假设下,无论是基本面分析,还是技术分析,都没有意义了。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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