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皓皓心 · 2024年09月22日

C没看明白

NO.PZ2024030508000017

问题如下:

A risk manager on the corporate bond desk at an investment company is explaining the important metrics used to measure and manage the risks of bonds to a group of newly hired analysts. The manager describes the concepts of recovery rates and default rates. Which of the following statements is correct for the manager to make?

选项:

A.Recovery rates follow lognormal distribution with a single mode, shaped by differences in the seniority levels among bonds from the same issuer. B.The issuer default rate relates the number of bonds that a specific issuer has defaulted on to the total number of bonds outstanding from this issuer. C.Recovery rates used in financial analysis are typically calculated as the post-liquidation amount of principal retained by issuers. D.The dollar default rate uses par values to measure the value of bonds that have defaulted as a percentage of the total value of outstanding bonds.

解释:

Explanation: D is correct. The dollar default rate is given by the total par value of bonds that have defaulted in a given year divided by the total par value of all outstanding bonds.

A is incorrect. The distribution of recovery rates is bimodal. The bimodal distribution of recovery rates arises due to the different seniority levels among bonds.

B is incorrect. The issuer default rate measures the number of defaults in the market divided by the total number of issues outstanding. This is not related to any specific issuer.

C is incorrect. Because it is difficult to track the value of what is eventually received by claimants in the event of a default, the recovery rate is calculated as the value of the bond a few days after default as a percentage of its par value.

Learning Objective: Define recovery rate and default rate, and differentiate between an issue default rate and a dollar default rate.

Reference: Global Association of Risk Professionals, Financial Markets and Products (New York, NY: Pearson, 2023). Chapter 17. Corporate Bonds

C没看明白

2 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年09月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


理论上的确是应该用资产清算后债权人能收回的钱。问题是,资产清算之后立刻能换回多少钱,这个很难获得精确数字,有可能资产现在压根卖不掉。


所以应该把条件放宽一些,在公司违约之后一段时间内,资产在这段时间内的价值,可以视作债权人能够收回的钱。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年09月22日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


C选项说的是,recovery rate是用liquidation之后获得的资产价值(liquidation就是把资产清算了,把资产卖掉),除以债务的面值(principal)。

这个算法不对。


liquidation之后具体能卖多少钱,这个很难准确的得到,应该是recovery rate = 债务违约一段时间之后的剩余价值 / 债务的面值。而不是用post-liquidation amount。

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

皓皓心 · 2024年09月27日

我不明白的就是清算后的价值不是就是违约后的剩余价值么,这两个之间有什么区别

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