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Kexin2025 · 2024年09月22日

为何不能计算预计派息率,再计算每股派息

NO.PZ2016012005000029

问题如下:

The dividend policy of Berkshire Gardens Inc. can be represented by a gradual adjustment to a target dividend payout ratio. Last year Berkshire had earnings per share of $3.00 and paid a dividend of $0.60 a share. This year it estimates earnings per share will be $4.00. Find its dividend per share for this year if it has a 25 percent target payout ratio and uses a five-year period to adjust its dividend.

选项:

A.

$0.68.

B.

$0.80.

C.

$0.85.

解释:

A is correct. The estimated dividend per share is US$0.68.

Previous DPS = US$0.60

Expected EPS = US$4

Target payout ratio = 0.25

Five-year adjustment factor = 1/5 = 0.2

Expected dividend = Previous dividend + (Expected earnings × Target payout ratio − Previous dividend) × Adjustment factor

= US$0.60 + [(US$4.00 × 0.25 − US$0.60) × 0.2]

= US$0.60 + US$0.08

= US$0.68

公司最近一期dividend payout ratio = 20%, 目标五年后payout ratio = 25%,为什么不能计算为五年20%提升至25%、即每年派息比例提升1%,即今年预计派息比例为21%。今年预计EPS = 4,每股派息则为 = 4*21%?

1 个答案

Kiko_品职助教 · 2024年09月23日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


This year it estimates earnings per share will be $4.00.  这句话不是说今年预计今年的EPS是4。而是今年预计五年后的EPS是4。所以你这种方法是行不通的。

恒定股利最常用的方法就是用这个公式来计算哈。Expected dividend = Previous dividend + (Expected earnings × Target payout ratio − Previous dividend) × Adjustment factor

原理就是用D1=D0+ΔD ,要算出来ΔD。 这类题目给的条件一般直接都是公式里面的,比如这道题,虽然他没有特别说明EPS=4是五年后的,但是这种方法下,我们就是要用5年后的EPS这个条件来做。

而不是用你说的这种方式哈~

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