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monicaaaaa · 2024年09月16日

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NO.PZ202206070100000203

问题如下:

Using the data provided in Exhibit 1 and Grey’s recommended approach and assumed correlation, the expected return for US real estate is closest to:

选项:

A.6.9%.

B.4.3%.

C.6.3%.

解释:

C is correct. Grey recommends the Singer–Terhaar approach and a correlation of 0.39 between real estate and the market. Use these steps to solve for the expected return:

Fully integrated risk premium: R P i G = β i,GM R P GM = ρ i,GM σ i R P GM σ GM

  • Step 1 Fully integrated risk premium (14.0% × 0.39 × 0.36) = 1.97%
  • Fully segmented risk premium (14.0% × 0.36) = 5.04%
  • Step 2 Fully integrated and segmented risk premium, considering the degree of integration (1.97% × 0.6) + (5.04% × 0.4) = 3.20%
  • Step 3 Expected return estimate:
  • Fully integrated and segmented risk premium + Risk-free rate 3.20% + 3.1% = 6.3%

A is incorrect. The mistake is in reversing the weights for integrated and segmented.

B is incorrect. In step one, it uses the covariance 0.0075 instead of the Sharpe ratio

本题考查的ST模型:

C是正确的。格雷建议采用Singer-Terhaar方法,房地产和市场之间的相关性为0.39。使用以下步骤来求解预期收益:

完全整合风险溢价: R P i ,G = β i,GM R P GM = ρ i,GM σ i (R P GM/ σ GM)

完全分割风险溢价: R P i ,S =1×R P i, S =1× σ i( R P i Si)

步骤1充分整合风险溢价(14.0% × 0.39 × 0.36) = 1.97%
完全分段风险溢价(14.0% × 0.36) = 5.04%
步骤2充分整合和细分风险溢价,考虑整合程度(1.97% × 0.6) + (5.04% × 0.4) = 3.20%
步骤3 .预期收益估算:
完全综合分段风险溢价+无风险利率3.20% + 3.1% = 6.3%


B是不正确的。在第一步中,它错误地使用0.0075的协方差代替夏普比率。A是不正确的。它错误在于颠倒了权重。

这题现在还在考纲吗?是哪一个知识点?

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年09月17日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这题现在还在考纲吗?

Hello,亲爱的同学~

这题现在是在考纲里的。


是哪一个知识点?

是在预测equity return的章节里,关于ST model的知识点。

这里记忆下方的几个计算公式就可以。

计算题的做法都是固定的。

----------------------------------------------
就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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