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Frances · 2024年09月01日

loan and PPE

NO.PZ2024011002000161

问题如下:

After completing their forecast of the income statement, Marchand and Palmeiro discuss approaches to forecasting balance sheet accounts. Marchand asks Palmeiro which accounts on the balance sheet can be most reliably forecasted from the income statement.

The best answer to Marchand's question about forecasting balance sheet accounts is:

选项:

A.inventory. B.operating loans. C.property, plant, and equipment.

解释:

The income statement can be the starting point for balance sheet modeling. A common way to forecast working capital accounts (i.e., inventory) would be by using efficiency ratios, such as inventory turnover. Projections for long-term assets, such as property, plant, and equipment, are less directly tied to the income statement. The operating loan balance would depend on the working capital needs and cash flow forecasts, so it is two steps removed from the income statement.

income statement 中的D&A 可以用来预测B/S表中的PP&E啊,

还有Interest expense可以用来预测loan.

inventory怎么从I/S表中得出?

2 个答案

lynn_品职助教 · 2024年09月03日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


因为不知道会计假设和折旧摊销这个报表项目的具体组成,比如今年的折旧费用1000万,里面是十个固定资产的折旧费用,更细的科目是在明细账上才看得到。所以说反推不了固定资产的余额。

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lynn_品职助教 · 2024年09月03日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


inventory 可以直接用inventory turnover ratio =COGS/inventory来估计,只要根据公司可能的inventory turnover ratio,再结合I/S表中的COGS就可以估计inventory的多少


而operating loans是短期经营负债,属于短期有息负债,需要先预测公司运营转转所需的现金的差额才能预测,和I/S表各项之间没有直接关系,所以B不能选


同学说折旧摊销可以预测PPE思路是对的,但是反了,因为仅靠折旧摊销推不出固定资产。C固定资产其实是用来预测I/S表的折旧费用的(而不是用I/S表的折旧费用预测固定资产),所以折旧是I/S表科目依赖B/S表科目,而不是题目中要求的B/S表科目依赖I/S表科目,C错

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