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考试一次通过 · 2024年08月19日

r变大了,P/E0不是也变小了吗?为什么不选A呢

NO.PZ2023040501000165

问题如下:

French estimates a terminal value using a valuation multiple based on the company’s average price-to earnings multiple (P/E) over the past five years. French asked:

“What change in the calculation of the terminal value would you make if a technological development that would adversely affect Archway was forecast to occur sometime beyond your financial forecast horizon?”

The most appropriate response to the question about the technological development is to:

选项:

A.

increase the required return.

B.

decrease the price-to-earnings multiple.

C.

decrease the perpetual growth rate.

解释:

If the future growth or profitability of a company is likely to be lower than the historical average (in this case, because of a potential technological development), then the target multiple should reflect a discount to the historical multiple to reflect this difference in growth and/or profitability. If a multiple issued to derive the terminal value of a company, the choice of the multiple should be consistent with the long-run expectations for growth and required return. French tells Wright he believes that such a technological development may have an adverse impact on Archway beyond the forecast horizon.

A为什么不选。。。。。。

1 个答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年08月19日

同学你好,A的要求回报率变大,和P/E变小有必然联系吗?我们这里说的就是P/E而不是justified P/E,用的不是 (1-b)/(r-g)这个公式来求的P/E值,而是真实的用未来终值年份估计的EPS乘以一个估计的P/E值来求terminal value ,所以r在P/E里根本没有体现呢

而且,CFA协会做题原则是3个选项中选最优的,哪怕你理解成了justified P/E,但B肯定对,而且B比A更直接更直白,所以本题也应该优先选B哦


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