NO.PZ2023040301000188
问题如下:
A clothing company, which initially produced designer clothing, has
increasingly entered into the mass market. Which of the following approaches to
forecasting revenues is least appropriate?
选项:
A.
Historical results
B.
Analyst’s discretionary forecast
C.
Historical base rates and
convergence
解释:
A is correct.
Historical results is least appropriate, because the company has changed its
competitive strategy. Analyst’s discretionary forecast may be appropriate,
because the company is undergoing a fundamental change. The company is growing
and may be transitioning to be more like the industry, in which case historical
base rates and convergence may be an appropriate approach.
请问convergence是什么意思?