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CFA KING · 2024年08月04日

convertible bond arbitrage的payoff

NO.PZ2023010407000010

问题如下:

Johnson research a convertible arbitrage strategy and analyzes transactions involving ABC company stocks and convertible bonds. And collect selected data for ABC company, as shown in Exhibit 1

Exhibit 1

Based on comparisons with industry ratios, Johnson believes that the relative value of ABC's stock is overvalued, while convertible bonds are undervalued. And believe the potential profit outcomes of a long position in the convertible bond combined with a short stock position,assuming that the stock price changes very little, ignoring dividends and borrowing costs. He came to the following conclusions:

"Regardless of whether ABC's share price is falling or rising, the profit of a convertible arbitrage transaction is the same."

Johnson’s conclusion about the profitability of the ABC convertible arbitrage trade is:

选项:

A.

Correct

B.

incorrect, because the profit will be higher if the share price decreases

C.

incorrect, because if the stock price rises, the profit will be higher

解释:

A is correct. The classic convertible bond arbitrage strategy is to buy the relatively undervalued convertible bond and take a short position in the relatively overvalued underlying stock. If the convertible bond’s current price is near the conversion value, then the combination of a long convertible and short equity delta exposure will create a situation where for small changes in the share price and ignoring dividends and borrowing costs, the profit/loss will be the same. The current conversion price of the ABC convertible bond is € 1000×(120/100)/50=€24, and the current AVC share price is €29. Thus, by purchasing the convertible bond, selling short the shares, exercising the conversion option, and selling the shares at the current market price, a profit of €5 can be locked in regardless of changes in the share price. The following table demonstrates this result by showing the same trade profit of €5 for three different stock prices:


where

Long stock via convertible bond profit = New share price – Current conversion price

Short stock profit = Current share price – New share price

Total profit = Long stock via convertible bond profit + Short stock profit

Thus, regardless of the share price, the total profit on the convertible arbitrage trade is €5

B is incorrect because if the convertible bond’s current price is near the conversion value, then the combination of a long convertible and short equity delta exposure will create a situation where the profit/loss will be the same (not higher if the share price decreases).

C is incorrect because if the convertible bond’s current price is near the conversion value, then the combination of a long convertible and short equity delta exposure will create a situation where for small changes in equity price, the profit/loss will be the same (not higher if the share price increases).

convertible bond arbitrage的payoff不是等于long put吗,price decreases,payoff increases

1 个答案

伯恩_品职助教 · 2024年08月04日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


不是啊,实际上是long了低估的CB的option,这个option也是call,简单说就是由于CB低估,比如3元买下CB,转换率是1:1,stock是5元,买入CB转换成stock然后卖出就能净赚2=5-3.

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