NO.PZ2023100703000105
问题如下:
The trading department of Dragon Fruit Bank now has a hedging position based on the duration. They shorted the $ 500 million U.S. Treasury bond and bought the $ 473 million U.S. TIPS. The analysis department of the bank has just made a regression analysis of the nominal interest rate and real interest rate, and found that when the nominal interest rate changes by 1 basis point, the real interest rate changes by 0.992 basis points. Based on this relationship, how should the trading department adjust their existing positions?选项:
A.There is no need to change the position. B.Purchase $3.8 million TIPS. C.Purchase $4.8 million Treasury bond. D.Sell $3.8 million TIPS.解释:
To determine the adjustment needed, first, we need to figure out the adjusted position based on the given relationship between nominal and real interest rate changes.
Change in nominal interest rate: 1 basis point
Change in real interest rate: 0.992 basis points
When the U.S. Treasury bond (which pays nominal interest rates) position changes by $1 million, the U.S. TIPS (which pays real interest rates) position should change by $0.992 million to hedge the position.
U.S. Treasury bond position: $500 million
U.S. TIPS position: $473 million
Desired TIPS position to hedge the $500 million U.S. Treasury bond based on the relationship = 0.992 * $500 million = $496 million.
Difference between current TIPS position and desired TIPS position = $496 million - $473 million = $23 million.
However, to adjust the position based on the nominal and real interest rate relationship, the bank should hold a TIPS position of $496 million for every $500 million in U.S. Treasury bonds.
Given that the bank currently holds $473 million in TIPS, they need to purchase an additional $23 million in TIPS to match the desired position.
However, the options don't have a "Purchase $23 million TIPS". Let's break it down:
For every $500 million U.S. Treasury bond, they need:
Desired TIPS = 0.992 * $500 million = $496 million
For every $1 million change in Treasury bonds:
Change in TIPS = 0.992 * $1 million = $0.992 million
Given the bank is short $500 million Treasury bonds and long $473 million TIPS, they are short:
$500 million - $473 million = $27 million adjusted equivalent
To adjust this, they need to make the TIPS position equivalent to:
$27 million / $0.992 = $27.22 million
Difference = $27.22 million - $27 million = $0.22 million or $220,000
Purchase $3.8 million TIPS seems too far from our computed value, but it's the closest among the choices.
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