NO.PZ2019070101000059
问题如下：
Which of the following statements regarding the consequence of sovereign defaults is not true?
选项：
A.
Sovereign default can cause trade retaliation and industry level data finds that export oriented industries are particularly hurt by sovereign default
B.
Sovereign default can make banking systems more fragile.
C.
Countries are more likely to suffer banking crises and GDP growth generally falls 0.5% to 2% in the later years rather than first years after default, but the drop is usually short-lived.
D.
Defaulting countries have borrowing costs that are about 0.5 to 1% higher than countries that have not defaulted.
解释：
C is correct
考点：External Rating
解析：
本题是选出说法不正确的选项。
主权违约可能导致贸易报复,一项使用行业级数据的研究发现，出口导向型行业尤其受到违约影响。A选项说法正确。主权违约会使银行系统更加脆弱。B选项说法正确。违约对地区GDP增长的负面影响在0.5%到2%之间，但大部分下降是在违约后的第一个阶段。C选项说法不正确。违约国家的借贷成本比没有违约的国家高0.5%到1%。D选项说法正确。
老师好，A选项能举个例子吗？出口导向国家怎么贸易报复呢？C选项的“但是这个下降时间很短暂”这句话是正确的吗？也就是主权违约，gdp下降是暂时的？
