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宇宙球求 · 2024年07月28日

请问该在实际考试中是否有快捷做法?

NO.PZ2023010409000023

问题如下:

The Wolf University Endowment Fund (the Fund), which has assets under management of $200 million, has an overall objective of maintaining long-term purchasing power while providing needed financial support to Wolf University. During the meeting, Spintop states that the Fund has an annual spending policy of paying out 4% of the Fund’s three-year rolling asset value to Wolf University.

The Fund has a small investment staff with limited experience in managing alternative assets and currently uses the Norway model for its investment approach. Azarov suggests a change in investment approach by making an allocation to externally managed alternative assets—namely, hedge funds and private equity. Ten-year nominal expected return assumptions for various asset classes, as well as three proposed allocations that include some allocation to alternative assets, are presented in Exhibit 1.

Exhibit 1 10-Year Nominal Expected Return Assumptions and Proposed Allocations

Expected inflation for the next 10 years is 2.5% annually.

Which proposed allocation in Exhibit 1 would be most appropriate for the Fund given its characteristics? Justify your response.

选项:

解释:

担心每个都要算时间不够

2 个答案
已采纳答案

lynn_品职助教 · 2024年07月28日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


不用每个都计算哈,除非题目说了calculate,考题的计算量,出题人还是要考虑的


这道题是这样,当前状态下,组合用的是Norway model,也就是Equity/Fixed-income =60%/40%的策略。


首先可以快速判断一下

我们的投资必须要满足required return。由于这道题的基金每年会支付4%出去(annual spending policy of paying out 4% of the Fund’s),所以,这个基金的real return是4%。


那我们就先要算一下,表格1里面的3个allocation能否实现4%的real return。经过计算发现,allocation 1的real return是3.07%,所以allocation 1排除。然后allocation 2与allocation 3的real return都大于4%,所以我们需要在allocation 2与3里面选择一个。


然后现在要改变这种策略,说是加入一些Alternative investments,从表格给的三个备选Portfolio来看,Allocation 1/2/3都是增加了Alternative investments,所以初步判断三个Portfolio都OK。然后我们就算一下三个Allocation的Expected return是多少,经过计算之后,发现allocation 1的收益太低,排除;allocation 2与Allocation 3的收益一样,为6.71%;


所以要在Allocation 2与Allocation 3里面选一个,这里面选择的标准就是:在收益率一样的情况下,我们优先选择Alternative investments占比低的那个Portfolio。


因为另类投资,比如Private equity,hedge fund,流动性比Equity和Fixed income差很多,所以既然2个Portfolio的收益一样,我们就选流动性更好的那个。

除此之外,如答案所说,本题是一个小基金,另类投资需要专业的知识,题干有说他们团队不具备投资另类产品的能力;

此外,因为他们是小基金,很难聘请得到top manager来管理另类投资;所以他们投另类资产也是有一些限制的。

于是Allocation 2/3在收益一样的情况下,我们只能选择Alternative占比少的那个。参考答案:

The total 60% allocation to alternative assets in Allocation 2 is well above the 15% allocation in Allocation 3 and is likely too high considering the Fund’s small investment staff and its limited experience with managing alternative investments. Also, given the Fund’s relatively small size of assets under management ($200 million), access to top hedge funds and private equity managers is likely to be limited.



这道题也是一类题型,原则就是,如果要在几个Portfolio里面选最优的组合,恰好两个Portfolio产生的收益一样,我们选择另类占比较小的那个。


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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

宇宙球求 · 2024年08月01日

谢谢您,模范回答。

lynn_品职助教 · 2024年08月01日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


加油↖(^ω^)↗

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!