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mino酱是个小破货 · 2024年07月24日

为什么不是C?

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NO.PZ202105270100000505

问题如下:

Based on Bader’s expectations for current account secular trends as shown in Exhibit 1, Bader should reallocate capital, all else being equal, from:

选项:

A.Country A to Country C.

B.Country B to Country A.

C.Country C to Country A.

解释:

A is correct.

Bader should reallocate capital from Country A, which is expected to have a secularly rising current account deficit, to Country C, which is expected to have a secularly rising current account surplus. A rising current account deficit will tend to put upward pressure on real required returns and downward pressure on asset prices, whereas a rising current account surplus (or narrowing deficit) will put downward pressure on real required returns and upward pressure on asset prices. Analysts should consider reallocation of portfolio assets from countries with secularly rising current account deficits to those with secularly rising current account surpluses (or narrowing deficits).

巴德尔应该将资本从A国(预计经常账户赤字将长期上升)重新配置到C国(预计经常账户盈余将长期上升)。不断上升的经常账户赤字往往会给实际所需回报带来上行压力,给资产价格带来下行压力,而不断上升的经常账户盈余(或赤字缩小)则会给实际所需回报带来下行压力,给资产价格带来上行压力。分析师应考虑将投资组合资产从经常账户赤字长期上升的国家重新配置到经常账户盈余长期上升(或赤字不断缩小)的国家。


收支平衡角度,一国经常账户赤字,资本账户盈余。资本应流入,谢谢

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源_品职助教 · 2024年07月24日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


如果但从A国角度看,同学的想法是有道理的。


A国经常账户赤字,如果在长期要维持国际收支平衡就需要资本账户流入(这个条件在短期可以不成立)。

但是现在是牵扯到第三国,也就是从第三国视角来看,我们已经配置了A和C,现在我们应该怎么分配(不是站在A国视角了,A国国际收支即便不平衡不关我们的事情,我们只管取得高额投资收益。)

现在C国经常账户盈余,所以其货币会升值,所以就投它。反之,A国经常账户赤子,其货币会贬值,所以要撤资。

所以站在投资人角度,就是把A国的投资转移到B国。

不客气~

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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