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Andy · 2024年07月21日

为什么不能选C?

NO.PZ2023112701000048

问题如下:

An analyst is analyzing company XYZ and has gathered annual invested capital and ROIC for each of the three XYZ business segments.


Based on the information provided, XYZ’s management is most likely prone to which of the following biases?

选项:

A.Inertia B.Sunk cost C.Pet project

解释:

Correct Answer: A

A is correct. Inertia can be identified by examining the level of capital investment in total, by segment, or by business line, if disclosed, and comparing it to the prior year and the return on investment. If capital investment each year is static or rising despite falling returns on investment, the analyst should question the issuer’s justification for a capital investment and whether management should consider alternative uses. In the case of XYZ, we can observe that for segments A and B, ROIC is decreasing, but both segments are getting a higher capital allocation each year.

B is incorrect because sunk cost is related to the capital allocation process in determining a potential project’s profitability. Sunk costs, or those expenses that have already been incurred, should be ignored when evaluating potential projects.

C is incorrect because a detailed view of individual investment projects undertaken by XYZ’s management is not provided. Identifying pet projects from outside the firm is difficult, because financial statements are aggregated and such projects may not meet the threshold of materiality.

为什么不能选C?

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2024年07月22日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


1

因为缺乏具体的项目细节,无法判断管理层是否有偏好的项目

惯性可以通过观察资本支出和 ROIC 的变化来识别,而 pet project 则需要更多的项目细节才能确定

2

另外,站在出题人的角度

我觉得还有一个细节,也是排除选项 C 的理由

3

那就是表格给出的是部门(segment)的汇总数据,所以无法确定其中是否存在 pet projects

从这个角度出发,也和咱们讲义中的解释是一致的

也请参考基础班讲义墨迹版 P283


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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!