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monicaaaaa · 2024年07月20日

老师看一下这种算法对吗

NO.PZ2023040701000008

问题如下:

Let’s use the term structure of interest rates to price bonds, and in particular I want you to fully understand the relationships between spot and forward rates and yield to maturity. Use the data in Exhibit 1 to determine whether a 4% coupon Treasury bond, maturing in four years and offered by a dealer at a yield-to-maturity of 7.89% is cheap (buy recommendation), fairly valued (hold recommendation) or rich (sell recommendation) based on arbitrage opportunities.


Based on the data in Exhibit 1 and the yield to maturity quoted by the dealer, what action should an analyst most likely take with regard to the Treasury bond?

选项:

A.

Buy

B.

Hold

C.

Sell

解释:

Correct Answer: C

Since the quoted YTM of 7.89% is more expensive (price = $87.08) than the YTM based on the spot rates of 8.14% (price = $86.34), the analyst should sell the bond.

Step 1: Calculate the year 3 rate from the discount factor.


Step 2: Using the year 3 spot rate and the forward rate f(2,1), calculate the year 2 spot rate.


Step 3: Using the spot rates, calculate the YTM for the bond using your calculator.

YTM = 8.14%.

Step 4: Since the quoted YTM of 7.89% is more expensive (price = $87.08) than the YTM based on the spot rates of 8.14% (price = $86.34), the analyst should sell the bond.


老师可以看一下这种算法对吗?做出来答案是正确的



1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2024年07月21日

同学你好,不能这样比,因为在这个S3和f(1,3)的比较里,完全没有使用YTM的数据。只是拿题目给的表格里的利率曲线上的数据在比。

这题的意思是题目给的YTM是一个人的报价,但是市场上给的数据信息是表格里列示的。

它是让拿这两个信息来源计算的结果作对比,来看是否高估低估。你的计算里都没有从YTM那个信息来源的数据,那对比本身就没有意义。


另外,拿S3和f(1,3)比较也有问题,S3的跨度是前三年的spot rate,f(1,3)跨度是第二第三这两年。它俩对比得到f大,只能说明第二第三年的利率比第一年的高,我想不出来怎么能得到题目想要的结论。

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