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NicolePass · 2024年07月20日

Convertible bond

请问如果stock price下跌,比如跌到了$20,那就不会把手上的bond convert 成stock了对吗?如果是这样的话,Profit/ loss就不是5块了。


以下是经典题题目

Johnson research a convertible arbitrage strategy and analyzes transactions involving ABC company stocks and convertible bonds. And collect selected data for ABC company, as shown in Exhibit 1

Exhibit 1


Based on comparisons with industry ratios, Johnson believes that the relative value of ABC's stock is overvalued, while convertible bonds are undervalued. And believe the potential profit outcomes of a long position in the convertible bond combined with a short stock position,assuming that the stock price changes very little, ignoring dividends and borrowing costs. He came to the following conclusions:

"Regardless of whether ABC's share price is falling or rising, the profit of a convertible arbitrage transaction is the same."


Johnson’s conclusion about the profitability of the ABC convertible arbitrage trade is:

选项:

A.

Correct

B.

incorrect, because the profit will be higher if the share price decreases

C.

incorrect, because if the stock price rises, the profit will be higher

解释:

A is correct. The classic convertible bond arbitrage strategy is to buy the relatively undervalued convertible bond and take a short position in the relatively overvalued underlying stock. If the convertible bond’s current price is near the conversion value, then the combination of a long convertible and short equity delta exposure will create a situation where for small changes in the share price and ignoring dividends and borrowing costs, the profit/loss will be the same. The current conversion price of the ABC convertible bond is € 1000×(120/100)/50=€24, and the current AVC share price is €29. Thus, by purchasing the convertible bond, selling short the shares, exercising the conversion option, and selling the shares at the current market price, a profit of €5 can be locked in regardless of changes in the share price. The following table demonstrates this result by showing the same trade profit of €5 for three different stock prices:



where

Long stock via convertible bond profit = New share price – Current conversion price

Short stock profit = Current share price – New share price

Total profit = Long stock via convertible bond profit + Short stock profit

Thus, regardless of the share price, the total profit on the convertible arbitrage trade is €5

B is incorrect because if the convertible bond’s current price is near the conversion value, then the combination of a long convertible and short equity delta exposure will create a situation where the profit/loss will be the same (not higher if the share price decreases).


C is incorrect because if the convertible bond’s current price is near the conversion value, then the combination of a long convertible and short equity delta exposure will create a situation where for small changes in equity price, the profit/loss will be the same (not higher if the share price increases).

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已采纳答案

伯恩_品职助教 · 2024年07月21日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


那请问如果题目没有提及stock price change very little, 我上边的理解对么?——差不多,但是要考虑的不是行权不行权的问题,因为没到期是不能行权的,CB由于最低也是个bond所以下跌是有个底线的。这样理解就可以

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

伯恩_品职助教 · 2024年07月20日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好,题目已经说了是stock股价变化较小

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

NicolePass · 2024年07月21日

那请问如果题目没有提及stock price change very little, 我上边的理解对么?

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