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西红柿面 · 2024年07月19日

为什么跟答案不一样?

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NO.PZ201512300100000806

问题如下:

Jacob Daniel is the chief investment officer at a US pension fund sponsor, and Steven Rae is an analyst for the pension fund who follows consumer/noncyclical stocks. At the beginning of 2009, Daniel asks Rae to value the equity of Tasty Foods Company for its possible inclusion in the list of approved investments. Tasty Foods Company is involved in the production of frozen foods that are sold under its own brand name to retailers.

Rae is considering if a dividend discount model would be appropriate for valuing Tasty Foods. He has compiled the information in the following table for the company’s EPS and DPS during the last five years. The quarterly dividends paid by the company have been added to arrive at the annual dividends. Rae has also computed the dividend payout ratio for each year as DPS/EPS and the growth rates in EPS and DPS.

Rae notes that the EPS of the company has been increasing at an average rate of 4.48 percent per year. The dividend payout ratio has remained fairly stable and dividends have increased at an average rate of 5.30 percent. In view of a history of dividend payments by the company and the understandable relationship dividend policy bears to the company’s earnings, Rae concludes that the DDM is appropriate to value the equity of Tasty Foods. Further, he expects the moderate growth rate of the company to persist and decides to use the Gordon growth model.

Rae uses the CAPM to compute the return on equity. He uses the annual yield of 4 percent on the 10-year Treasury bond as the risk-free return. He estimates the expected US equity risk premium, with the S&P 500 Index used as a proxy for the market, to be 6.5 percent per year. The estimated beta of Tasty Foods against the S&P 500 Index is 1.10. Accordingly, Rae’s estimate for the required return on equity for Tasty Foods is 0.04 + 1.10(0.065) = 0.1115 or 11.15 percent.

Using the past growth rate in dividends of 5.30 percent as his estimate of the future growth rate in dividends, Rae computes the value of Tasty Foods stock. He shows his analysis to Alex Renteria, his colleague at the pension fund who specializes in the frozen foods industry. Renteria concurs with the valuation approach used by Rae but disagrees with the future growth rate he used. Renteria believes that the stock’s current price of $8.42 is the fair value of the stock.


6. If Alex Renteria is correct that the current price of Tasty Foods stock is its fair value, what is expected capital gains yield on the stock?

选项:

A.

3.87%.

B.

4.25%.

C.

5.30%.

解释:

A is correct.

If the stock is fairly priced in the market as per the Gordon growth model, the stock price is expected to increase at g, the expected growth rate in dividends. The implied growth rate in dividends, if price is the fair value, is 3.87 percent. Therefore, the expected capital gains yield is 3.87 percent.

r=D1/P+g,g为capital gain,所带入11.15%=0.59*(1+5.3%)/8.42+g,求得g=3.77%,为什么跟答案不一样?

2 个答案
已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年07月19日

同学你好,这个g除了是capital gain yield,也是分红增长率g啊

你这里11.15%=0.59*(1+5.3%)/8.42+ g 这个公式的5.3%本身就应该带入g而不是5.3%呢——用这个公式的话,你就可以正确算到g = 3.87%了



西红柿面 · 2024年07月21日

明白了,老师我还想问下g+dividend yield=required rate of return这个公式里面的Dividend Yield就是用Leading Dividend Yield来算是吗?

西红柿面 · 2024年07月21日

在其他问题看到答案了,谢谢

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年07月21日

好的,同学加油

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