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Jwang · 2024年07月17日

如题

NO.PZ2022123002000019

问题如下:

Testa acquired a Spanish packaging company. The Spanish investment involved Testa acquiring 200,000 shares of a packaging company at EUR90 per share. He decided to fully hedge the position with a six month USD/EUR forward contract. Details of the euro hedge at initiation and three months later are provided in Exhibit 1. Three months after the purchase, the shares had increased to EUR100 each, but Testa, believing that a still higher price was likely, maintained the position. He also indicated that he did not anticipate having to roll the hedge forward at its maturity.

Exhibit 1 2009 Spot and Forward USD/EUR Quotes (Bid-Offer) and Annualized Libor Rates

If the 2009 forward hedge had been rolled forward at its maturity, using Exhibit 1, the roll yield would most likely have been:

选项:

A.

negative, but the currency change made it less negative

B.

positive, but the currency change reduced some of this effect

C.

negative, and the currency change made it even more negative

解释:

Correct Answer: C

In implementing the hedge, euros (the base currency) must be sold against the US dollar. The base currency is selling at a discount and thus would “roll up the curve” as the contract approaches maturity. Settlement of the forward contract would entail buying euros at a higher price—that is, selling low and buying high—resulting in a negative roll yield. Since the euro has appreciated by the time the hedge needs to be extended, this tends to further increase the cost of euros to settle the original contract and makes the roll yield even more negative—that is, sell low, buy even higher.

老师好,roll yield为负我可以理解,但是currency change方面,EUR相对于USD升值了,这个人本来就有EUR的资产,不会减少roll yield的损失吗?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa27 · 2024年07月18日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


不是,这里您可以这么想,我们是short方,然后EUR升值了,看似可以卖的更贵,但是实际不是的,因为我们卖出的价格是期初约定好的,所以还是按照原先比较低的价格卖出,那么我们就亏了。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

Jwang · 2024年07月18日

明白了,谢谢老师!

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NO.PZ2022123002000019 问题如下 Testa acquirea Spanishpackaging company. The Spanish investment involveTesta acquiring 200,000shares of a packaging company EUR90 per share. He cito fully hee theposition with a six month USEUR forwarcontract. tails of the euro heeinitiation anthree months later are proviin Exhibit 1. Three monthsafter the purchase, the shares hincreaseto EUR100 each, but Testbelievingtha still higher priwlikely, maintainethe position. He alsoincatethhe not anticipate having to roll the hee forwaritsmaturity.Exhibit 1 2009 Spot anForwarUSEUR Quotes (BiOffer) anAnnualizeibor RatesIfthe 2009 forwarhee hbeen rolleforwarits maturity, using Exhibit1, the roll yielwoulmost likely have been: A.negative, but the currenchange ma it lessnegative B.positive, but the currenchange recesome of thiseffe C.negative, anthe currenchange ma it even morenegative CorreAnswer: CIn implementingthe hee, euros (the base currency) must solagainst the US llar. Thebase currenis selling a scount anthus woul“roll up the curve” asthe contraapproaches maturity. Settlement of the forwarcontrawoulentailbuying euros a higher price—this, selling low anbuying high—resultingin a negative roll yiel Sinthe euro happreciatethe time the heenee to exten this ten to further increase the cost of euros to settlethe origincontraanmakes the roll yieleven more negative—this, selllow, buy even higher. 之前老师回答0时刻T同学签的是6个月的远期合约,且是short 头寸,因此计算roll yielF-S/S=(1.3916-1.3935)/1.3935=-19bp/1.3935=-0.001363;在3个月的时间点想再roll 进一份新的forwar约,这需要两步,一是签发反向对冲合约把之前的6个月的forwar约平仓平掉,二是再签一份新的forwar约,新的合约仍然是short头寸,roll yiel=(1.4106-21.6bp-1.4106)/1.4106=-21.6bp/1.4106=-0.001531。我想问,3个月后,spot rate看数据是appreciation了,但具体对roll yiel的影响是扩大还是减小,还要根据在3个月时间点进行roll时的forwarrate变动方向和大小计算判断,而不能把本题的作为一个结论去套用。这么理解对么

2024-07-30 00:19 1 · 回答

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2024-06-05 09:42 1 · 回答

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2024-02-07 14:05 1 · 回答

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2024-02-01 14:56 1 · 回答