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RaymondSF · 2024年07月15日

NO.2018110601000024

答案判断及提示不正确 PE can be a long term invetment commitment. Given the TAA, it can be adjusted only for one year investment time frame. The answer of the question may cause investmetn horizon mismatching.
1 个答案

Lucky_品职助教 · 2024年07月15日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好:


这道题在判断的时候,还有一个条件需要我们考虑到,那就是expected excess return。


C选项中的调整:

Large-cap equities excess return=-2%, weight change=-2%

short-term bonds excess return=1%, weight change=2%

而A选中的调整:

real estate excess return=-5%,weight change=-3%

private equity excess return=6%,weight change=3%


经过上面的对比,能够很明显的看出,选项A带来的收益,要远高于选项C。所以不是C是错误的,而是C调整的结果没有A好,A中PE和房地产excess return的绝对值最大,而且权重调整的时候也调到顶了。如果C的decrease the allocation of large-cap equities to 35% ,increase the allocation of short-term bonds to 20%,那么C就更合适了。


投资 Private equity 、 real estate 确实需要承担流动性风险,所以投资者会要求额外的return作为补偿,因此excess return这一栏已经考虑了流动性因素,不需要单独分析资产本身是否方便退出。并且投资者除了直接投资,还可以选择间接投资,比如投资房地产,可以投资一些REITS这样的证券化的产品。


根据你的评论,这里的短期并不是指一两个月。对于大学捐赠基金,目标是无限期的存活下去,所以长期是几十年以后,而短期是近几年。按年来算,投资私募股权虽然流动性差,但也可以获得比较高的收益,那就投资投资私募股权。

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