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执瑞 Zhirui · 2024年07月09日

如果yield curve倒挂

NO.PZ2020021601000013

问题如下:

Ivan Paulinic, an analyst at a large wealth management firm, meets with his supervisor to discuss adding financial institution equity securities to client portfolios.

Paulinic gathers data on three national banks that meet initial selection criteria but require further review.

All of the national banks under consideration primarily make long- term loans and source a significant portion of their funding from retail deposits. Paulinic and the rest of the research team note that the central bank is unwinding a long period of monetary easing as evidenced by two recent increases in the overnight funding rate. Paulinic informs his supervisor that:

Statement 1 Given the recently reported stronger- than- anticipated macroeconomic data, there is an imminent risk that the yield curve will invert.

Statement 2 N- bank is very active in the 30- day reverse repurchase agreement market during times when the bank experiences significant increases in retail deposits.

Based on Statement 1, the net interest margin for the three banks’ most likely will:

选项:

A.

decrease.

B.

remain unchanged.

C.

increase.

解释:

A is correct.

A bank’s net interest margin represents the difference between interest earned on loans and other interest- bearing assets and the level of interest paid on deposits and other interest- bearing liabilities. Banks typically borrow money for shorter terms (retail deposits) and lend to customers for longer periods (mortgages and car loans). If the yield curve unexpectedly inverts, the short- term funding costs will increase and the net interest margin will most likely decrease (not remain unchanged or increase).

那么长期债券的价格会上升呢

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已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年07月10日

同学你好,你说的没错,但你想问的是什么呢?

收益率曲线倒挂确实长期债券价格上升,但是这道题讨论的是银行一旦未来存款利率上升贷款利率下降的息差收益会下降的事情呢,和长期债券价格没有什么直接关系呢


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