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SHAO · 2024年07月05日

老师,请教下

NO.PZ2023032701000048

问题如下:

Nicosia makes the following three statements:

1. The free cash flow valuation approach is superior to the discounted dividend valuation approach because the company’s dividends have been substantially different from its FCFE.

2. Because the company’s capital structure seems unstable, the FCFE valuation approach is superior to the FCFF valuation approach.

3. If there is a change in control at McLaughlin, the discounted dividend valuation approach would be superior to a free cash flow valuation approach.

Which of Nicosia’s three statements pertaining to McLaughlin’s valuation is the most accurate? Statement:

选项:

A.

2

B.

3

C.

1

解释:

Nicosia’s first statement is correct. Analysts should use a FCFE valuation whenever dividends differ significantly from the company’s capacity to pay dividends or when a change of control is anticipated. A FCFF valuation is preferred over a FCFE valuation whenever the capital structure is unstable or ever-changing. So, Nicosia’s first statement is correct, and her second and third statements are incorrect.

Statement 2 is incorrect. Analysts should use a free cash flow to equity valuation whenever dividends differ significantly from the company’s capacity to pay dividends. FCFF valuation is preferred over FCFE valuation whenever the capital structure is unstable or ever-changing.

Statement 3 is incorrect. With control comes discretion over the uses of free cash flow, as does the capacity to change dividend levels. As such, a free cash flow valuation approach is likely to be superior to a discounted dividend valuation approach.

第1个陈述怎么对呢,1. The free cash flow valuation approach is superior to the discounted dividend valuation approach because the company’s dividends have been substantially different from its FCFE.

他说的是dividend和FCFE不一样的时候,用DDM不好,之前说的不是dividend和NI不匹配时才不能用吗?FCFE不等于NI呀,为啥这里这样陈述就对呢?

如果这样就对,那么题目如果换成dividend和EBIT不匹配,和EBITDA不匹配,和CFO不匹配等等,是不是都算对呢?

2 个答案
已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年07月05日

同学你好,要注意,这类考题的目标是考察考生会不会在不同的估值模型中挑选最适合企业的模型做估值

所以不太可能会出现dividend和EBIT,EBITDA不匹配的这种题目,因为EBIT和EBITDA根本没有对应的估值模型

而如果题目说dividend和NI或和CFO不匹配,那其实本质和本题statement 1就是同一种考法,就是要同学判断公司的分红是不具有可持续性的,是和公司的经营能力或产生现金的能力是不匹配的——那至少可以得出结论,DDM模型对这类公司进行估值是不合适的


王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年07月05日

同学你好,第一个表述的意思对应的知识点是,一个公司的分红能力其实应该和FCFE是成正比的

也就是如果一个公司FCFE多,分红就能多;反之依然,且成一定比例

因为FCFE本质就是股东的自由现金流,就是公司股东可以自有支配的钱

而如果分红和股东可以自由支配的钱不一致,说明公司的分红可能是严重偏离其实际产生剩余现金的能力的(譬如有些公司的分红持续很高,但是FCFE却持续非常低)

此时这个分红就是有偏差的,就没有反映公司未来能够产生现金的能力

回想一下,资产的价值定义就是资产价值等于其能够产生的未来现金流的折现之和——如果分红不能反映其实际经营产生现金流的能力,用DDM估计的价值就不能反映实际价值,就是不好的

此时用更实际的FCFE来对公司估值反而更有力

SHAO · 2024年07月05日

老师,如果题目换成dividend和NI不匹配,EBIT不匹配,和EBITDA不匹配,和CFO不匹配等等,都算对吗?哪些算对,哪些是不对的呢

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NO.PZ2023032701000048问题如下 Nicosia makes the following three statements:1. The free cash flow valuation approais superior to the scountevinvaluation approabecause the company’s vin have been substantially fferent from its FCFE.2. Because the company’s capitstructure seems unstable, the FCFE valuation approais superior to the FCFF valuation approach.3. If there is a change in control McLaughlin, the scountevinvaluation approawoulsuperior to a free cash flow valuation approach.Whiof Nicosia’s three statements pertaining to McLaughlin’s valuation is the most accurate? Statement: A.2B.3C.1 Nicosia’s first statement is correct. Analysts shouluse a FCFE valuation whenever vin ffer significantly from the company’s capacity to pvin or when a change of control is anticipate A FCFF valuation is preferreover a FCFE valuation whenever the capitstructure is unstable or ever-changing. So, Nicosia’s first statement is correct, anher seconanthirstatements are incorrect.Statement 2 is incorrect. Analysts shouluse a free cash flow to equity valuation whenever vin ffer significantly from the company’s capacity to pvin. FCFF valuation is preferreover FCFE valuation whenever the capitstructure is unstable or ever-changing.Statement 3 is incorrect. With control comes scretion over the uses of free cash flow, es the capacity to change vinlevels. such, a free cash flow valuation approais likely to superior to a scountevinvaluation approach. 理解为本来有control的现在change了变成不是control了,所以成了小股东,优先用M,所以认为3讲对,我是阅读理解错了吗,泣

2024-07-01 15:44 1 · 回答

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2023-07-14 23:54 1 · 回答