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dilly24 · 2024年07月01日

请问这道题B为什么错了啊?

NO.PZ2021120102000012

问题如下:

Which of the following outcomes is most likely if the junior analyst revises the bond’s original recovery rate higher?

选项:

A.

An increase in the bond’s POD

B.

A decrease in the bond’s POD

C.

A decrease in the bond’s credit spread

解释:

C is correct. An increase in a bond’s recovery rate will lower the loss severity, or LGD, because LGD = (1 – RR).

Recall the simple one-period relationship between credit spreads, LGD, and the POD as Spread ≈ LGD × POD. A lower LGD will result in a lower spread.

如题

1 个答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2024年07月01日

这道题考的是这个公式:

Credit spread ≈ PD × LGD,其中LGD = 1- recovery rate


于是Credit spread ≈ PD × (1- recovery rate)


题干说recovery rate上升,问影响如何。则可以判断,在PD不变的情况下,RR上升Credit spread是下降的,本题选C。


如果题干改一下,改成在Credit spread不变的背景下,如果recovery rate上升,则PD如何改变。在这样的背景下,Recovery rate上升,则(1-recovery rate)下降,为了维持住credit spread不变,那么PD必须要上升。


但本题只是说recovery rate上升,没有提其他条件,那就默认是问RR上升对Credit spread的影响,于是可以判断是credit spread下降。

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