NO.PZ2023040301000196
问题如下：
Which of the following statements about scenario analysis is most
accurate?
选项：
A.Scenario analysis provides a
point estimate forecast
Forecast scenarios can be
compared to forecasts implied by current valuations
Generic risk factors in
scenario analysis are assumed to affect all companies in the same way
解释：
Investors compare
these scenarios with other analysts’ (e.g., sell-side analysts) forecasts for a
company, as well as forecasts implied by current valuations, to make investment
decisions.
A is incorrect
because rather than develop single point estimate forecasts, analysts make
several forecast scenarios that vary based on different outcomes with respect
of key risk factors.
C is incorrect because the final step in forecasting
involves incorporating the possibility of different outcomes based on key risk
factors as well as judging their likelihood of occurrence. Generic risk factors
that affect all companies—but to varying degrees include changes in the
business cycle, competition, inflation and deflation, and technological
developments.
C 的解释有点看不懂
