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梦梦 · 2024年06月01日

有两个问题

NO.PZ2023091601000063

问题如下:

A senior manager on the proprietary trading desk of an investment bank is evaluating the performance of two fixed-income traders, trader A and trader B, using their annual performance over the last 10 years. Trader A generated an average return of 7% with a standard deviation of 15%, while trader B generated an average return of 12% with a standard deviation of 20%. The manager tests the null hypothesis that the traders performed equally well against the alternative hypothesis that the average return of trader B is higher than the average return of trader A. Assuming the performances of each trader are independent, which of the following correctly identifies the test statistic and the 5% critical value corresponding to this alternative hypothesis?

选项:

A.

The test statistic is -0.63 and the critical value is 2.31.

B.

The test statistic is -0.27 and the critical value is 2.31.

C.

The test statistic is 0.27 and the critical value is 1.86.

D.

The test statistic is 0.63 and the critical value is 1.86.

解释:

D is correct. If we let X and Y denote traders B and A respectively (noting that it is safest to work with proportions rather than percentages) the test statistic for testing that the means are equal (i.e., 𝐻0:𝜇𝑋=𝜇𝑌) is:


Note that the denominator no longer has the (2σXY/n) component in the calculation; this is because the two performance results are independent – as such, the correlation between X and Y is 0. The statistic 0.63 follows a t-distribution with 8 degrees of freedom and a 5% (one-sided) size of test uses the critical value of 1.86.


老师好,为什么自由度是8而不是9,n不是10吗?

为什么结果要用绝对值?

2 个答案

pzqa39 · 2024年06月04日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


1 这道题问的是过去10年A和B两个交易员业绩之间的关系,研究两个变量间的关系使用一元线性回归中的t检验

2 我一直回答你的是把等号放在H0

3 t分布它可以用于单尾或双尾检验。当进行单尾检验时,确实可以根据假设的方向(左侧检验或右侧检验)来查看t分布表的相应区域。卡方检验通常用于方差分析、拟合优度检验等,它是单尾检验,查表时是关注右尾。而标准正态分布是完全对称的,其“左尾”或“右尾”的使用完全依赖于检验的性质和方向。

4 如果备择假设(Ha)中含有不等号(> 或 <),则表明这是一个单尾检验。拒绝域的位置(左侧还是右侧)直接由不等号的方向决定。

Ha: μ > μ0 表示右侧单尾检验,拒绝域位于分布的右侧,意味着只有当样本统计量非常大(远大于μ0)时才会拒绝H0。

Ha: μ < μ0 表示左侧单尾检验,拒绝域位于分布的左侧,意味着只有当样本统计量非常小(远小于μ0)时才会拒绝H0。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

pzqa39 · 2024年06月03日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


1对于单样本t检验(不涉及线性回归模型),自由度df=n-1 ,n是样本数量

对于回归系数的t检验,自由度df=n-k-1,其中k是自变量的个数,在一元回归里面k=1。

这道题是在做线性回归,所以自由度=n-k-1


2 这道题H0:UB<=UA (交易员B的平均回报率小于等于交易员A)

Ha: UB>UA (交易员B的平均回报率高于交易员A)

根据Ha确定为单尾检验,找右侧5%位置的值为1.86

计算t : 下图红色笔记圆圈2



因为H0是UB<=UA

所以UB-UA <=0

所以是12%-7%


这道题比较复杂,建议听老师的讲解理清思路

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

梦梦 · 2024年06月04日

1、自由度df=n-k-1,也是线性回归残差的自由度吧?这道题怎么就线性回归了?难道是B大于等于A,B相当于Y,A相当于X? 2、之前不是讲过H0不要带等号?现在又带等号😅到底怎样? 3、老师,是说t分布,卡方分布,查单尾概率默认都是右尾?标准正态分布是左尾? 4、单位检验还是双尾检验看Ha,如果是单尾检验,拒绝域在左边还是右边是看Ha是大于还是小于符号,还是看H0?

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