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WINWIN8 · 2024年06月01日

dts

NO.PZ2021120102000027

问题如下:

Which of the following regarding the shape of the credit spread curve for high-yield issuers is most accurate?

选项:

A.

High-yield credit spread curves change shape more over the cycle than investment-grade ones do and usually invert during the peak phase.

B.

Investors should exercise caution in interpreting credit spread curve shape for distressed debt issuers because their bonds tend to trade on a price rather than credit spread basis as the likelihood of default increases.

C.

High-yield credit spread curves often invert because of the empirical observation that DTS is the best way to measure high-yield bond price changes.

解释:

B is correct. Investors should exercise caution in interpreting credit spread curve shape for distressed debt issuers because their bonds tend to trade at a price close to the recovery rate.

A is incorrect because the high-yield spread curve tends to invert during a contraction, while C is incorrect because a high-yield curve inversion is related to the relationship between near-term and long-term default as opposed to DTS.

请问选项c,书上的解释是“ for the lower rated bond(hyb), the spread changes are not on an absolute basis, but on a proportional percentage. dts is an best way to capture this effect." 请问这句话该怎么理解呢?

2 个答案

发亮_品职助教 · 2024年06月04日

就是方便比较。

因为DTS=duration × spread,不仅考虑了信用债的duration大小,还考虑到了自身的spread基数。


有些债券的duration大,但是spread基数小,所以spread改变引起的价格改变不一定大;而有些债券虽然spraed基数大,但Duration小,同样spread的改变引起的债券价格不一定大。

spread改变引起的价格波动,既会受到自身duration大小的影响,又会受到自身spread的基础大小影响,所以乘到一起得到DTS。


所以如果我们知道2个信用债的DTS一个是100,一个是50;且知道spread的百分比变动是10bp,直接看DTS就知道第1个债券的波动是第2个债券波动的2倍,因为其DTS是第2个债券的2倍。方便判断债券的信用风险敞口


回到题目的话,DTS的使用题目一定会说明的,否则默认就是一般的duration哈

发亮_品职助教 · 2024年06月03日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


就是对于一般的信用债,在分析债券说spread变动的时候,这个spread的变动是绝对数值。

比如,债券的spread上升1%,那么假设债券原来的spread是2%,则上升1%之后就是2%+1%=3%,即,这里讨论的是△Spread的改变,这是一般的情况。


但是对于Lower-rated bonds,对于这类垃圾债来讲,在交易分析的时候,讨论的spread改变是基于percentage的改变。即,讨论的是△Spread/spread的改变,这是改变的 propartional percentage,即相对改变。例如,说垃圾债的spread上升10bps,同时Spread基数是125bps,则△spread/spread = 10/125 = 8%

由于是△spread/spread 的改变8%,不是spread的改变8%,所以这时候需要用DTS来算债券的价格改变。

假设DTS是750,则债券的价格改变是:750×8%


这就是原版书这句话的意思,对于垃圾债来讲,分析、交易的时候,讨论的是△Spread/spread改变(这是proportional percentage),不是绝对数值Spread的改变(not on an absolute basis),在计算时,不能用duration,应该使用DTS


一般如果要使用DTS计算的话,题干会直接说明。否则默认一般情况就是用duration哈。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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