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PZmomo · 2024年05月13日

为什么算的是ic而不是ir?

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NO.PZ202304060100011301

问题如下:

Suppose all three managers claim to be good at forecasting returns. According to the full fundamental law of active management, which manager is the best at efficiently building portfolios by anticipating future returns?

选项:

A.

Manager 1

B.

Manager 2

C.

Manager 3

解释:

The proper statistic to calculate is the information coefficient, and it is defined as follows:

\[IC=COR(\frac{{{R}_{Ai}}}{{{\sigma }_{i}}},\frac{{{\mu }_{i}}}{{{\sigma }_{i}}})\]

A manager is a good forecaster if his or her ex-ante active return expectations (forecasts) are highly correlated with the realized active returns. The information coefficient requires that these forecasts and realized returns be risk-weighted. When this is done for the three managers, the risk weighted forecasts and realized returns are:


The ICs are found by calculating the correlations between each manager’s forecasts and the realized risk-weighted returns. The three managers have the following ICs:


Manager 3 has the highest IC.

为什么算的是ic而不是ir(ic*tc)?

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年05月14日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


题目给的前提条件是“Suppose all three managers claim to be good at forecasting returns.”,预测未来收益的能力是IC。

如果给的是 基金经理宣称他们构建组合的能力很厉害 / 自己的想法可以完全实现在实际的投资组合中 / 对于active weight把握的很好,则是TC。

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