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PZmomo · 2024年05月01日

future spot rates higher than current forward rates

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202304070100001302

问题如下:

Based on Exhibit 1 and assuming Tyo’s market views on yield curve changes are realized, the forward curve of which country will lie below its spot curve?

选项:

A.

Country A

B.

Country B

C.

Country C

解释:

Correct Answer: B

The yield curve for Country B is currently upward sloping, but Tyo expects a reversal in the slope of the current yield curve. This means she expects the resulting yield curve for Country B to slope downward, which implies that the resulting forward curve would lie below the spot yield curve. The forward curve lies below the spot curve in scenarios in which the spot curve is downward sloping; the forward curve lies above the spot curve in scenarios in which the spot curve is upward sloping.

A is incorrect because the yield curve for Country A is currently upward sloping and Tyo expects that the yield curve will maintain its shape and level. That expectation implies that the resulting forward curve would be above the spot yield curve.

C is incorrect because the yield curve for Country C is currently downward sloping and Tyo expects a reversal in the slope of the current yield curve. This means she expects the resulting yield curve for Country C to slope upward, which implies that the resulting forward curve would be above the spot yield curve.

为什么future spot rates higher than current forward rates,forward curve就会below spot curve?

可以画图说明一下吗?forward rate不都是和同一时刻的spot rate进行比较吗?为什么会有future spot rates?

2 个答案

pzqa31 · 2024年05月06日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


题干说的是现在是upward的,预计未来会变成downward,这是一个动态的过程。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

pzqa31 · 2024年05月03日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


当收益率曲线向下倾斜,就说明forward curve在spot curve下方,这是课上讲过的结论。在forward curve这部分,同学可以再去听听,何老师讲的很详细。


future spot rate是到了将来,市场上真实的即期利率是多少。current forward rate是隐含在现在的spot rate中的远期利率。future spot rate是基金经理预测的,每个人预测的数值是不一样的。而forward rate是零时刻就已知的。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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