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13675759099 · 2024年04月26日

为什么选C?不选B?看了其他同学的提问和老师的解答还是没懂。

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202105270100000408

问题如下:

Based only on Exhibits 3 and 4 and the information provided by the portfolio managers, the action most likely to enhance returns is to:

选项:

A.decrease existing investments in real estate by 2.00%. B.initiate a commitment to emerging market debt of 1.00%. C.increase the investments in international market bonds by 1.00%.

解释:

C is correct.

An investment in the bonds of the international energy exploration and production company (Xdelp) looks attractive. The international market benefits from positive macroeconomic fundamentals: point in the business cycle, monetary and fiscal discipline, rising current account surplus, and an appreciating currency. The anticipated credit rating improvement will add to the potential for this to become a profitable investment and enhance returns. An increase in the investments within the international fixed-income segment by 1.00% (existing weight is 6.17%) would take advantage of this opportunity and remain in compliance with the foundation’s 5.00%–10.00% strategic asset allocation limits.

A is incorrect because a decrease in the existing weight of real estate by 2.00% would put the portfolio weight below the minimum threshold of 2.00% (i.e., 3.34% ̶ 2.00% = 1.34%) of the foundation’s strategic asset allocation.

B is incorrect because the information presented in Exhibit 3 would lead the chief investment officer to avoid the two opportunities in emerging market debt (Emerging Republic A and Emerging Republic B) and not initiate a commitment to emerging market debt of 1.00% (i.e., increase the existing weight above 0.00%).

对国际能源勘探和生产公司(Xdelp)债券的投资看起来很有吸引力。国际市场受益于积极的宏观经济基本面:商业周期、货币和财政纪律、不断增长的经常账户盈余,以及货币升值。预期的信用评级改善将增加这一投资的盈利潜力,并提高回报。国际固定收益部门的投资增加1.00%(现有权重为6.17%)将利用这个机会,并保持符合基金会5.00%-10.00%的战略资产配置限制。

A是不正确的,因为房地产现有权重下降2.00%,投资组合权重就会低于基金会战略资产配置的最小阈值2.00%(3.34%-2.00% = 1.34%)。

B是错误的,因为在表3中显示的信息将导致首席投资官避免新兴市场债务的两个机会(新兴共和国A和新兴共和国B),并没有启动对新兴市场债务1.00%的承诺(即增加现有权重超过0.00%)。


在经济上行,市场利率上行的时候,债券的价格会下跌。

所以一般来说,债券在经济衰退期表现好,在经济上升期表现差。

那么为什么还选C呢?


我选了B,B虽然从表3看,那些指标很差,但是不就差,exp return才会高么,对risk

premium的补偿多呀。题目问哪个能让return变高,所以我选了B。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年04月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


Hello,亲爱的同学~


这道题说的是,Based only on Exhibits 3 and 4,基于表3和表4

那么我们看表3,表3中的信息是,这名投资官是要避开新兴市场债券的。

所以虽然表4中,新兴市场债券的比重很低,但是表3的信息说,这名投资官想要避开新兴债,所以也就不会提升新兴债的配置了。

如果把题干中的Based only on Exhibits 3 and 4,改成,Based only on Exhibits4,那么确实是可以选B的。


所以并不是同学说的premium补偿多不多的问题,而是投资官已经明确要避开新兴市场债券。


老师举个例子。

例如同学拿着钱买了银行理财,这个银行理财约定买一些短期无风险国债,可以赚得无风险利率3%。

然后银行理财的基金经理,拿着同学的这笔钱买了股票,最终结果还不错,赚了20%。


此时,同学一定是不满意的,我就是稳健理财赚3%,基金怎么给我买股票去了。

结果基金经理说,我赚了20%,不是比赚3%收益高嘛。

也就是说,并不是收益越高越高。投资策略要和事先声明的投资风格,具有一致性。


投资官既然明确避开新兴市场债券,就不会因为premium高,而去投资它。

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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