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徐威廉 · 2024年04月23日

D选项

NO.PZ2023090401000032

问题如下:

Question A financial institution is planning to add stressed VaR to the measures it uses to assess market risk. In preparation for this development, a risk analyst at the institution researches the differences between stressed VaR and traditional VaR, including the appropriate data, time horizons, and distributions. Which of the following is a major characteristic of stressed VaR that distinguishes it from traditional VaR?

选项:

A.

Stressed VaR is based on an unconditional loss distribution rather than a conditional loss distribution.

B.

Stressed VaR typically uses much longer time horizons, often several months or years.

C.

Stressed VaR uses a different assumed probability distribution as an input compared to traditional VaR

D.

Stressed VaR is not necessarily based on data from the immediately preceding period, unlike traditional VaR.

解释:

Explanation:

D is correct. VaR is traditionally calculated using data from the period immediately preceding the analysis. In stressed VaR, however, this data is gathered from a particularly stressful period in the past, which would not necessarily include the immediately preceding period.

A is incorrect. Stressed VaR produces a conditional loss distribution and is a conditional risk measure.

B is incorrect. Typically, the time horizon for stressed VaR is a short period (i.e., one to ten days).

C is incorrect. Stressed VaR is calculated from historical data, rather than assuming a probability distribution of losses.

Section: Valuation and Risk Models

Learning Objective:

Describe stressed VaR and stressed ES, including their advantages and disadvantages, and compare the process of determining stressed VaR and ES to that of traditional VaR and ES.

Reference: Global Association of Risk Professionals. Valuation and Risk Models. New York, NY: Pearson, 2022. Chapter 8. Stress Testing.

D选项什么意思?解释一下

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa39 · 2024年04月23日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:



VaR(传统上采用分析前即刻期段内的数据进行计算。然而,在压力VaR(Stressed VaR)中,所采用的数据来自过去一段特别具有压力的时期,而这不一定涵盖即刻前的期段。

传统VaR计算:

  • 数据来源:使用“分析前即刻期段内的数据”。这意味着在计算VaR时,选取的是与当前时间点最为接近的历史数据。例如,若要为今天计算VaR,可能使用过去几个月或几年(具体取决于模型和监管要求)的市场数据。
  • 特点:这种方法侧重于反映近期市场的常态风险水平,基于历史常态数据估计在给定置信水平下,未来某一时间段内投资组合可能遭受的最大损失。

压力VaR计算:

  • 数据来源:采用“过去一段特别具有压力的时期”的数据。这里指的是历史上出现过的极端市场环境或金融危机期间的数据,如2008年全球金融危机、2020年初的新冠疫情引发的市场动荡等。这些时期市场波动剧烈,投资者面临的损失风险显著增大。
  • 特点:压力VaR旨在模拟在类似极端不利条件下投资组合可能承受的最大损失,不局限于最近的历史数据。这种计算方法更加保守,旨在评估在极端市场状况下金融机构或投资组合的抗风险能力,有助于识别和管理尾部风险。

传统VaR计算主要依赖于近期常态市场数据,反映的是常规市场环境下预期的最大损失。而压力VaR则选择历史上特别压力大的时期数据,旨在估算在极端不利市场条件下的风险敞口,为风险管理提供更为谨慎的视角。两者在数据选取和风险考量角度上存在明显差异。

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