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tjksky · 2024年04月23日

请问这算出来了EL之后这两项怎么比较得出结果了

NO.PZ2023052301000058

问题如下:

A bond investor is considering the credit risk components and observed yield spreads for two IG bonds of similar maturity and liquidity:


Which of the following conclusions about the relationship between these bonds is most correct?

选项:

A.

An investor should be indifferent between purchasing Bond 1 and Bond 2, since Bond 1’s higher spread is sufficient compensation for the higher POD versus Bond 2.

B.

An investor should prefer Bond 2 over Bond 1, since they may earn a spread that is more than sufficient for assuming the credit risk.

C.

An investor should prefer Bond 1 over Bond 2, since it offers the highest spread relative to the expected loss.

解释:

C is correct. We can compare Bond 1 and Bond 2 by calculating the expected loss for each and comparing it to the annual spread:

EL = POD × LGD;Credit Spread ≈ POD × LGD

Bond 1: EL = 0.938% (= 1.25% × 75%);Spread − EL = 6.2 bps (= 1.00% − 0.938%).

Bond 2: EL = 0.935% (= 1.1% × 85%);Spread − EL = 1.5 bps (=0.95% − 0.935%).

An investor should therefore choose Bond 1 given its higher expected return versus credit risk. A is incorrect as it fails to take the LGD into account. B is incorrect as although Bond 1 earns a 1.5 bps spread above the expected annual loss, it is less than the additional 6.2 bps spread above the expected loss earned by purchasing Bond 1.

请问这算出来了EL之后这两项怎么比较得出结果了

2 个答案
已采纳答案

吴昊_品职助教 · 2024年04月23日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


Bond1的EL为93.8bp,Bond2的EL是93.5bp,虽然都小于各自的Yield Spread,但是Bond1的差距(100bp-93.8bp=6.2bp)大于Bond2的差距(95bp-93.5bp=1.5bp)。所以俩债券都可以买,但是相比较,更prefer债券1,因为债券1给的风险补偿更多。所以选C。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

李晨昱 · 2024年06月24日

从资产定价角度,为啥不是去买yield spread趋近于EL的债券,这样付出的成本最小

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