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Carolyne · 2024年04月18日

P的回答

NO.PZ2023041102000025

问题如下:

Daltonia is a medium sized developing country. Naim Birol, Minister of Finance for Daltonia. Birol believes Daltonia needs to address a recent increase in inflation and appreciation in the exchange rate. Should these trends accelerate, the country’s present prosperity could be threatened. Birol and his colleague Pamuk discuss policy alternatives.Ÿ

Birol states: “Since Daltonia allows capital to flow freely, the clearest choice is to implement expansionary monetary and fiscal policies to stop the appreciation of the currency according to the Mundell–Fleming model.”Ÿ

Pamuk replies: “The long run solution to the problem, at least according to the portfolio balance approach, would be a policy choice by the Daltonian government to run large budget deficits on a sustained basis.”Ÿ

Birol adds: “There is also a timing dimension to consider. According to Dornbusch, with inflexible domestic prices in the short run, any decrease in nominal money supply will induce an increase in the domestic interest rate. This will encourage capital inflows and cause the exchange rate to overshoot to the upside in the short run, until domestic prices have a chance to react.”

Which of the statements regarding policy alternatives discussed between Birol and Pamuk in response to Daltonia’s recent increase in inflation and deterioration in exchange rate is least accurate?

选项:

A.Birol’s statement regarding Dornbusch

B.Pamuk’s statement regarding the portfolio balance approach

C.Birol’s statement regarding Mundell–Fleming

解释:

Birol’s statement regarding the Mundell–Fleming model is inaccurate because restrictive (not expansionary) fiscal policy, along with expansionary monetary policy, would lead to capital outflows and cause the currency to depreciate assuming high capital mobility.

P的回答 只解决了目前货币升值的问题。他的回答能解决高通胀问题吗?另外 这个国家目前的情况 高通胀 货币升值 这俩问题的确可以同时存在吗

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已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年04月19日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


P的回答 只解决了目前货币升值的问题。他的回答能解决高通胀问题吗?

他的回答也可以解决通胀问题。

高通胀,意味着钱不值钱。

长期赤字后,外国投资者拒绝fund,撤资,货币贬值。

外国投资者撤资后,钱就变少了,钱变少了,意味着钱更值钱了。

钱更值钱了,则物价涨幅就会减缓。


另外 这个国家目前的情况 高通胀 货币升值 这俩问题的确可以同时存在吗

这题的已知条件是高通胀与货币升值。

这两个问题在现实中,也是可以同时存在的。

举例来说,美国2022年就是高通胀 + 美元升值。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

Carolyne · 2024年04月19日

对的 疫情后 美国大放水 高通胀 但是美元贬值压力导致其它和美联储挂钩国家货币被迫升值 不得不去买美元,这样又使得美元升值。所以美国通过美元的霸权地位 做到了高通胀加上货币升值

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