开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

暖暖 · 2024年04月16日

为什么是B

NO.PZ2024011002000170

问题如下:

Fromm is a transportation sector analyst at Tucana Investment, and he decides to use a five-year forecast horizon for Omikroon after considering the following factors:

  • Factor 1 The annual portfolio turnover at Tucana investments is 30%.
  • Factor 2 The electronic scooter industry is expected to grow rapidly over the next 10 years.
  • Factor 3 In 2014, Omikroon has announced it would acquire a light truck manufacturer that will be fully integrated to its truck division by 2016 and will add 2% to its total revenues.
Which factor best justifies the five-year forecast horizon for Omikroon selected by Fromm?

选项:

A.Factor 1 B.Factor 2 C.Factor 3

解释:

B is correct. The electric scooter industry is new and growing and the contribution of Omikroon’s electric scooter division is forecast to expand over 10 years.

我选对了, 但是还是不是特别理解。 题目中说在未来十年内, 会高速增长, 课程中老师说一个行业的周期是x年, 那我们就可以用一般的周期也就是 1/2周期来作为forecast horizon. 我觉得题目中说的并不是指一个周期。 应该不能作为forecast horizon 为5年的理由。

1 个答案

Kiko_品职助教 · 2024年04月17日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


Factor 2说的预测公司会有10年的高速增长期,也就是公司可高速增长的期限是大于5年的,预测期小于高速增长期就能保证这个预测是有意义的且是必须的,所以选B

----------------------------------------------
就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!