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Helen Tam · 2024年04月15日

請問A正確的原因?

NO.PZ2024021802000081

问题如下:

Which of the following statements about incorporating ESG factors into valuation inputs is most accurate?

选项:

A.Adjustments to the discount rate can be based on individual company factors or on a country or sector basis

B.The terminal growth rate is typically a weighted average of the required rates of return by debt and equity investors

C.The discount rate should be decreased to account for the risk that future cash flows could be impacted by unpredictable climate policy shifts

解释:

A. Correct because adjustments to the discount rate or terminal growth rate can be based on individual company factors or on a country or sector basis.

B. Incorrect because this response describes the discount rate, not the terminal growth rate. The terminal growth rate is a perpetual compound annual growth rate that a company’s cash flow is assumed to grow by after the discrete forecasting period (e.g., after the next 5 or 10 years of individual forecasts, an analyst assumes cash flows grow by 2% forever); it reflects the company’s growth prospects.

C. Incorrect because if a company faces significant environmental regulations or litigation, that could hurt its future cash flows. The investor would factor in the potential costs of these risks into cash flow projections, lowering the company’s valuation in a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. Besides adjustments to discrete cash flow projections, analysts can adjust the discount rate (e.g., required rate of return, cost of capital) or terminal growth assumption in their DCF model to account for material ESG factors. For example, all coal producers and coal-powered utilities might be judged to have higher climate-related risk and thus higher discount rates. Their discount rate should be increased (instead of decreased) to account for the risk that future cash flows could be impacted by unpredictable climate policy shifts.

可以解釋一下A為什麼正確?

3 个答案
已采纳答案

王岑 · 2024年04月16日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


A选项说的是调整贴现率可以基于单个公司的特定因素或者整个国家或行业的基础上。这是正确的,因为公司面临的ESG风险(例如,环境法规的风险或社会责任问题)可能会影响投资者所要求的回报率。如果一家公司在这些方面做得好,可能会减少贴现率,反之亦然。同时,某个国家或行业的ESG风险档次也可能影响整体贴现率,例如,一个国家可能因为其对环境保护的严格法规而被认为整体风险较低。

B选项说末端增长率通常是债权人和股权投资者所要求回报率的加权平均值,这实际上描述的是贴现率,而不是末端增长率。末端增长率反映的是企业预期未来永续增长的速度,它通常是基于公司长期增长前景的估计而来,与债权人和股权投资者的要求回报率无关。

C选项说贴现率应该降低以反映由于不可预测的气候政策变动可能影响未来现金流的风险。实际上,如果未来现金流存在被负面影响的风险,那么理论上应该提高贴现率来反映这一点。因为投资者会要求更高的回报来补偿他们承担的更高风险。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

王岑 · 2024年04月17日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


是的,您的理解很正确~

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

Helen Tam · 2024年04月17日

請問對discount rate 解讀如下是正確的嗎? esg 表現好, 貼現率 discount rate 低 climate policy 表現差,discount rate 高 因為discount rate 是反映投資價值表現。

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