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huangme7 · 2024年04月09日

问题

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NO.PZ201812310200000205

问题如下:

Which of Kowalski’s statements regarding the term structure of credit spreads is correct?

选项:

A.

Only Statement 1

B.

Only Statement 2

C.

Both Statement 1 and Statement 2

解释:

A is correct. For investment-grade bonds with the highest credit ratings, credit spreads are extremely low, and credit migration is possible only in one direction given the implied lower bound of zero on credit spreads. As a result, the credit term structure for the most highly rated securities tends to be either flat or slightly upward sloping. Securities with lower credit quality, however, face greater sensitivity to the credit cycle. Credit spreads would decrease, not increase, with the expectation of economic growth. There is a countercyclical relationship between credit spreads and benchmark rates over the business cycle. A strong economic climate is associated with higher benchmark yields but lower credit spreads because the probability of issuers defaulting declines in such good times.

credit migration is possible only in one direction given the implied lower bound of zero on credit spreads. 


There is a countercyclical relationship between credit spreads and benchmark rates over the business cycle. 

没懂解析中的这两句话。请解释一下

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2024年04月10日

同学你好,credit migration is possible only in one direction given the implied lower bound of zero on credit spreads. 因为投资级债券信用利差本来就很小,且下限为零,所以随着时间的增加,信用利差是会扩大的(one direction只剩一个方向,即向上)。


There is a countercyclical relationship between credit spreads and benchmark rates over the business cycle. 随着经济环境的变好,(这种环境通常不需要放水刺激)基础利率通常会上升一些,此时信用利差是下降的。

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