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Petrichor · 2024年03月22日

为什么这里的超额回报率是减去无风险利率呢?

NO.PZ2023090501000053

问题如下:

An equity analyst at a pension fund is using an internal three-factor model to assess a potential investment in stock BBZ. Each of the three factors is represented by an exchange-traded fund (ETF) which has a factor beta of 1 to that factor and a factor beta of 0 to all other factors. The analyst prepares the following information:

If the annualized risk-free interest rate is 2.10% and stock BBZ has an alpha of 0.50%, what is the expected annual return on stock BBZ using the internal model?

选项:

A.

2.84%

B.

4.94%

C.

6.01%

D.

6.51%

解释:

Explanation

B is correct. The first step is to find the expected excess return for each factor, which is calculated by subtracting the risk-free rate from the expected return as follows: for factor P it is 5.40% - 2.10% = 3.30%, for factor Q it is 6.80% - 2.10% = 4.70%, and for factor R: 3.00% - 2.10% = 0.90%

Multiplying by the respective factor betas for stock BBZ provides the contribution to the stock's expected return from its factor exposures: 0.95 * 3.30% + (-0.40) * 4.70% + 1.20 * 0.90% = 2.34%

Then, to find the total expected return for stock BBZ, add the alpha and the risk-free rate to the stock's expected return from its factor exposures, to get 2.34% + 0.50% + 2.10% for a total expected return of 4.94%.

A is incorrect. This choice forgets to add back the risk-free rate.

C is incorrect. This choice uses the total returns for each factor instead of the excess returns before multiplying by the factor betas, and also forgets to add in the alpha. This choice and choice D also do not add in the risk-free rate at the end, since it was already incorrectly captured three times through the use of the total returns.

D is incorrect. This choice uses the total returns for each factor instead of the excess returns.

Section Foundations of Risk Management

Learning Objective Calculate the expected return of an asset using a single-factor and a multifactor model.

Global Association of Risk Professionals. Foundations of Risk Management. New York,

NY: Pearson, 2022. Chapter 6. The Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Multifactor Models of

Risk and Return.

想当于是用市场风险里计算吗?

1 个答案

pzqa27 · 2024年03月24日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


按照多因子模型(讲义P230开始的部分)股票的收益率是由三部分组成:无风险收益、beta收益和alpha收益。


表格里面的Expected return of ETF factor指的就是 P Q R三个因子的收益率,分别减去risk free rate可以得出P Q R各自的超额收益。

题目说BBZ股票在P Q R三个因子的系数分别是0.95, -0.4, 1.2,这三个系数分别乘以上面算出来的P Q R各自的超额收益,得出BBZ股票的beta收益= 0.95 * 3.30% + (-0.40) * 4.70% + 1.20 * 0.90% = 2.34%.


以上是BBZ股票在三个因子上的暴露得到的beta收益。但还需要加上无风险收益率2.1%以及BBZ股票自己的alpha收益0.5%,才是最后的总收益。


这一部分可以参考Multifactor Models of Risk and Return这部分的The Fama-French Three-Factor Model。

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2024-03-11 15:30 1 · 回答