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世纪之龙5 · 2024年03月19日

还是不太明白d为什么错

NO.PZ2019042401000075

问题如下:

An individual investor wants to invest USD 8 million in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or private equity funds (PEFs). The investor obtains the previous year’s returns for several ETFs and calculates summary statistics such as volatility and correlation based on these returns. The investor also reviews a database of reported returns and volatilities for several PEFs and then selects two potential investments in each asset class. Using the data from the sources described above, the investor generates the following information for the four potential investments:


The manager evaluates this information while also considering the potential biases and uncertainties in the reported data. Which of the following conclusions is most appropriate for the investor to make?

选项:

A.

The correlation of returns between PEF1 and ETF1 is more accurate than the correlation of returns between ETF1 and ETF2.

B.

Summary statistics computed using reported returns of PEFs can be biased downward, which compromises the reliability of these risk measures.

C.

The number of assets in PEFs are typically higher than the number of assets in ETFs, which makes PEFs much less risky than ETFs over longer time horizons.

D.

The entire USD 8 million should be allocated to PEF2 because it is clearly the superior investment from a return to risk perspective.

解释:

B is correct. Because private equity funds trade infrequently, their risk measures— such as volatilities, correlations, and betas—can be too low when computed using reported returns. See p. 386 in LTR and p.86 in IM

A is incorrect. Correlations regarding PEF1 are not reliable (See explanation for D). The correlation between the two ETFs is more reliable.

C is incorrect. The number of assets alone cannot be a determinant of the risk level of a portfolio. Also, ETFs often hold a very large number of assets, while PEFs can be more concentrated.

D is incorrect. Because the volatility of PEF2 is likely understated, it is not clear that PEF2 truly has the best return to risk profile out of the four investments. Even if it did in fact have the best return/risk profile, it is inappropriate to conclude that the investor should allocate all these funds to that one investment. The investor should consider other factors, such as potential diversification benefits from holding a mixture of the four investments as well as diversification benefits with other investments and asset classes that the investor may own. There is not enough information given to make this conclusion.

如题

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa39 · 2024年03月19日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


D选项的说法是,“整个800万美元应该全部投资于PEF2,因为从回报风险的角度来看,它显然是最优的投资。”

 

首先,D选项没有考虑到投资组合的多样化原则,将所有资金投入单一资产是风险管理中不推荐的做法。投资者通常会通过分散投资于不同的资产来降低风险,而不是将所有资金集中在一个投资上,即便这个投资在过去的表现看似最好。

 

其次,如B选项所指出的,私募股权基金(PEF)的报告回报率和相关的风险度量可能因为其交易频率较低而低估了真实的风险。这意味着PEF2的波动性可能被低估了,因此,我们不能单凭现有数据就断定PEF2在风险调整回报率方面确实是最优的。

 

此外,从投资策略的角度来看,即使PEF2的风险调整回报看起来较优,也应当结合其他因素进行考量,比如潜在的多样化效益。投资者可能会持有的其他投资和资产类别,这些都可能提供额外的多样化效益。

 

综上,D选项的结论过于简单化,忽略了投资组合管理的基本原则和潜在的数据偏差问题,因此是错误的。

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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