NO.PZ2023100701000015
问题如下:
An analyst is forecasting operating costs for a company with relatively high fixed costs, sensitivity to economic conditions, and commodity inputs with volatile pricing. The company does not follow a hedging strategy for commodity purchases but tries to buy when prices are low. Which of the following is most appropriate to use in forecasting operating costs? The analyst uses:
选项:
A.
analyst discretion to forecast all operating costs
B.
management guidance to forecast all operating costs
C.
management guidance to forecast fixed operating costs and analyst discretion to forecast variable operating costs
解释:
C is correct. Management has an advantage in forecasting for objects that are subject to its actions (such as capital expenditures and inventories, which affect fixed costs). The analyst is likely to have an informational advantage when it comes to forecasting economic conditions and commodity prices, which affect revenues and variable costs.
原材料价格波动很大,即便分析师对价格波动的预测更加准确,但最决定是否购买还是取决于公司管理层。现实中,这类原材料购买的预测,真的会忽略管理层对未来经营的自主分析么?