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YAO Monica · 2024年03月15日

无套利模型比均衡模型能更好的模拟市场收益(因为其要校准market price)

NO.PZ2018123101000032

问题如下:

Madison prefers arbitrage-free models. She thinks even though equilibrium models require fewer parameters to be estimated relative to arbitrage-free models, arbitrage-free models allow for time-varying parameters. In general, this allowance leads to arbitrage-free models being able to model the market yield curve more precisely than equilibrium models.

Is Madison correct in describing key differences in equilibrium and arbitrage-free models as they relate to the number of parameters and model accuracy?

选项:

A.

Yes

B.

No, she is incorrect about which type of model requires fewer parameter estimates

C.

No, she is incorrect about which type of model is more precise at modeling market yield curves

解释:

A is correct.

考点:Equilibrium Term Structure Models and Arbitrage-free Models

解析:均衡期限结构模型相对于无套利模型需要较少的参数估计,无套利模型允许时变参数(time-varying parameters)。因此,无套利模型可以比均衡模型更精确地模拟市场收益率曲线。

无套利模型比均衡模型能更好的模拟市场收益(因为其要校准market price)

但是,两种模型的结果本身谁比谁更精确,应该是无法比较的吧?

1 个答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2024年03月16日

同学你好,模型这个东西吧,校对过去无套利因为跟着市场变所以更准,但是预测未来没法比较。