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世纪之龙5 · 2024年03月15日

D为什么不选

NO.PZ2020033001000042

问题如下:

During the 2007-2009 global financial crisis, traders and risk managers used copula to model correlations, but the models and the economy actually differed greatly, which also led to incorrect estimates of structured product risks , Which of the following statements is the least likely to explain the failure of the copula model during the financial crisis?

选项:

A.

During the financial crisis, correlations for senior tranches of CDOs stays constant.

B.

The copula correlation model was calibrated using data from low-risk time periods..

C.

During the financial crisis, correlations for both equity and mezzanine tranches of CDOs increased.

D.

The copula correlation model assumes that the CDO equity tranche and senior tranche are negatively correlated.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:copula function

解析:金融危机时,整个环境都在恶化,各个senior层内的违约情况也都在增高,senior层之间的correlation也在上升。

如题

2 个答案

pzqa27 · 2024年03月18日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这里负相关指的是CDO的底层equity部分和优先级部分的价值是负相关的。在经济较好的情况下,senior部分的现金流和普通的固定利息债券差不多,投资人倾向于购买风险较高收益也高的equity tranche,资金从senior部分转移到equity部分。

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pzqa27 · 2024年03月15日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


题目问的是最不可能解释失败的,也就是让我们选一个没法解释失败的选项。而金融危机时,整个环境都在恶化,各个senior层内的违约情况也都在增高,senior层之间的correlation也在上升。因此D是可以解释copula model为社么失败的,所以不选D。

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世纪之龙5 · 2024年03月16日

d为什么是负相关的

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