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Hazel · 2024年03月14日

请问可以画图解释一下这道题吗?

NO.PZ2023090401000072

问题如下:

Question A fixed-income analyst is decomposing the profit and loss (P&L) of a bond over the past 6 months. The bond has a 2% coupon rate, paid semi-annually, and had exactly 2 years remaining until maturity at the start of the 6-month period. Relevant information about the bond and market rates (semi-annually compounded) is shown below:


The analyst has calculated the bond’s carry roll-down, and under the forward rate assumption made for the purpose of that calculation, the ending value of the bond is SGD 100.55. Given this information, what is the component of the bond’s P&L attributable to the change in rates over the 6-month period?

选项:

A.

SGD 0.54

B.

SGD 0.69

C.

SGD 0.74

D.

SGD 0.99

解释:

Explanation:

A is correct. Calculating the impact of the change in rates is the second step in decomposing the P&L of a bond, after calculating the carry roll-down. The impact of a rate change is calculated as the value of the bond at the end of the period using the ending forward rate curve (and the bond’s beginning-of-period spread), minus the end-of-period value of the bond calculated using the forward rates assumed for the purpose of determining carry roll-down (which represent some sense of “no change” in the interest rate environment). The value of the bond under the ending forward rate curve is:


Therefore, the impact of the rate change is: SGD 101.09 - SGD 100.55 = SGD = 0.54

B is incorrect. This uses the end-of-period spread of 20 bps in the above calculation rather than the beginning-of-period spread of 30 bps.

C is incorrect. This subtracts the bond’s initial price, rather than the value from the carry roll-down calculation, from the value produced in the change in rates calculation: 101.09 – 100.35 = 0.74. D is incorrect. This omits the spread from the above calculation of the impact of the change in rates.

Section: Valuation and Risk Models

Learning Objective: Explain the decomposition of the profit and loss (P&L) for a bond position or portfolio into separate factors including carry roll-down, rate change, and spread change effects.

Reference: Global Association of Risk Professionals. Valuation and Risk Models. New York, NY: Pearson, 2022. Chapter 11. Bond Yields and Return Calculations.

尤其是请问在计算债券价格时,为什么使用的是答案显示中所对应的远期利率呢?有点没太看得懂

1 个答案
已采纳答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年03月14日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这道题问的是Rate changes在债券价格变动中贡献了多少?

这个Rate change可以理解为,由于真实的市场利率与我们期初预期的利率不一样,这个差异给债券带来的变动。而我们期初预期的利率就是forward rate,所以用的都是forward rate。


rate changes = value A - value B.

value A指的是使用ending时刻的forward rate以及beginning时刻的spread计算出来的债券价值。现在是0.5时刻,未来还有1、1.5、2这三个时刻的三笔现金流。这三个时刻距离现在的时间分别是0.5,1和1.5. 现金流折现计算如下:

在1时刻,现金流是1元,折现率要参考0-0.5的forward rate数据,折现率=forward rate 0.007 / 2 + spread 0.003 / 2,这个0.003就是第一个表格里面的30 bps。

在1.5时刻,现金流是1元。折现率由两段组成,第一段是0-0.5, 第二段是0.5-1,所以是两段相乘。第一段和前面一致的,第二段是forward rate0.01 /2 + 0.003/2.

在2时刻,现金流是101. 折现率是三段组成。其中前两段和上一步保持一致,最后的那一段是1-1.5的forward rate/2 + 0.003/2.


以上就是value A的计算过程,而value B 是题目给的“ending value of the bond is SGD 100.55”,最后A- B就行了。

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2024-03-19 09:22 1 · 回答