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Katherine · 2024年03月13日

答案这里的T为什么不是181而是180?

NO.PZ2023040502000045

问题如下:

Luke examines West Texas Intermediate (WTI) monthly crude oil price data, expressed in US dollars per barrel, for the 181-month period from August 2000 through August 2015.


Based on the data for the AR(1) model( the critical value is 1.97), he can conclude that the:

选项:

A.

residuals are not serially correlated.

B.

autocorrelations do not differ significantly from zero.

C.

standard error for each of the autocorrelations is 0.0745.

解释:

The standard error of the autocorrelations is calculated as , where T represents the number of observations used in the regression. Therefore, the standard error for each of the autocorrelations is = 0.0745.Martinez can conclude that the residuals are serially correlated and are significantly different from zero because two of the four autocorrelations in Exhibit 2 have a t-statistic in absolute value that is greater than the critical value of 1.97.

Choices A and B are incorrect because two of the four autocorrelations have at-statistic in absolute value that is greater than the critical value of the t-statistic of 1.97.

standard error为什么不是根号下181分之一?

Katherine · 2024年03月13日

这个明白了, 因为有一阶滞后变量会减少一个样本容量

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年03月14日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


因为有一阶滞后变量会减少一个样本容量---------------对。

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NO.PZ2023040502000045 问题如下 Luke examines West TexIntermeate (WTI) monthly cruoil pritexpressein US llars per barrel, for the 181-month periofromAugust 2000 through August 2015.Baseon the ta for the AR(1) mol( the criticvalue is 1.97), he cconcluththe: A.resials are not serially correlate B.autocorrelations not ffer significantly from zero. C.stanrerror for eaof the autocorrelations is0.0745. The stanrerror of the autocorrelations iscalculate, where Trepresents the number of observations usein the regression. Therefore, thestanrerror for eaof the autocorrelations is = 0.0745.Martinezcconclu ththe resials are serially correlateanare significantlyfferent from zero because two of the four autocorrelations in Exhibit 2 havea t-statistic in absolute value this greater ththe criticvalue of1.97.Choices A anB areincorrebecause two of the four autocorrelations have at-statistic inabsolute value this greater ththe criticvalue of the t-statistic of1.97. 请问题目中的Lag3以及Lag4,t-statistic是小于1.96的,也就是不能拒绝Ho在不能拒绝Ho的情况下,是不是表示就存在autocorrelation的现象呢? 我记得课上说只要Lag1-4中有任何一个接受H0,就需要修正了那么B中所述“autocorrelations not ffer significantly from zero.”错在哪里呢?

2024-04-17 10:16 1 · 回答

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