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葫芦娃吃生菜 · 2024年03月11日

这道题怎么理解,解释一下

NO.PZ2023090401000022

问题如下:

Question A risk manager at a pension fund is analyzing the risk profile of several of the fund’s portfolios. The portfolios are invested in different asset classes and have the same current market value. Which of the following portfolios would likely have the highest potential level of unexpected loss during a sharp broad-based downturn in financial markets?

选项:

A.

A portfolio of US Treasury notes with 2 to 5 years to maturity

B.

A portfolio of long stock positions in an international large cap stock index combined with long put options on the same index

C.

A portfolio of mezzanine tranche MBS structured by a large regional bank

D.

A short position in futures for industrial commodities such as copper and steel

解释:

Explanation:

C is correct. The portfolio of mortgage-backed securities would have the highest unexpected loss since the securities should have the highest correlation (covariance) and should have the most risk of moving downward simultaneously in a crisis situation.

Section: Foundations of Risk Management

Learning Objective:

Distinguish between expected loss and unexpected loss and provide examples of each.

Reference: Global Association of Risk Professionals. Foundations of Risk Management. New York, NY: Pearson, 2022. Chapter 1. The Building Blocks of Risk Management.

这道题怎么理解,解释一下

1 个答案

pzqa27 · 2024年03月11日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这个题问在金融危机的时候,哪一个选项有最大的unexpected loss。

A是国债

B是国际股票指数和一个看跌期权

C是一家大型地区性银行构建 MBS 投资组合的mezz层

D铜和钢等工业商品期货的空头头寸

这里只有C的unexpected loss是最大的,因为在危机的时候,国债表选是很好的,因为大家都有避险的心理,因此A不选,D也不能选,因为它是做空的头寸,在危机的时候是赚钱的。B虽然股票是会亏钱,但是它有一个看跌期权,因此可以保护下跌时受到的风险。

只有C风险最大,因为mezz层并不是最高层,当equity层亏完的时候,mezz是要帮senior层吸收损失的,尤其是危机的时候,equity大概率是会亏完的,所以mezz层的风险很高。

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