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PZmomo · 2024年02月29日

使用即期利率的债券估值和利率二叉树中债券估值都为什么相同?

NO.PZ2018123101000060

问题如下:

The following statements were made in the course of the debate regarding the conditions underlying binomial interest rate trees:

Statement 1: The only requirements needed to create a binomial interest rate tree are current benchmark interest rates and an assumption about interest rate volatility.

Statement 2: Potential interest rate volatility in a binomial interest rate tree can be estimated using historical interest rate volatility or observed market prices from interest rate derivatives.

Statement 3: A bond value derived from a binomial interest rate tree with a relatively high volatility assumption will be different from the value calculated by discounting the bond’s cash flows using current spot rates.

Which of the various statements regarding binomial interest rate trees is correct?

选项:

A.

Statement 1

B.

Statement 2

C.

Statement 3

解释:

B is correct.

考点:对二叉树模型的理解

解析:通常使用两种方法来估计利率二叉树中的利率波动率。

第一种方法基于历史利率波动率的估计。

第二种方法使用观察到的利率衍生品的市场价格。

Statement 1不正确,因为创建利率二叉树有三个要求,而不是两个。第三个要求是关于利率模型的假设。

Statement 3不正确,因为无论模型中使用的波动率假设如何,使用即期利率的债券估值和利率二叉树中债券估值都是相同的。

Statement 3不正确,因为无论模型中使用的波动率假设如何,使用即期利率的债券估值和利率二叉树中债券估值都是相同的。


这句话怎么解释?使用即期利率的债券估值和利率二叉树中债券估值都为什么相同?

1 个答案

pzqa31 · 2024年02月29日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


二叉树与spot rate得到的债券价格都是arbitrage free price,不同的volatility影响的是二叉树的形状(分散or集中),不会影响到二叉树计算的债券价格。假设volatility变大,那么上面点的利率更大,下面点的利率更小,用上面利率折现得到的价格更小,用下面利率折现得到的价格更大,二者平均后与原volatility计算的价格基本没什么区别。

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