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Shuangshuang · 2024年02月20日

其他解析的题和现在的题不一样,也看不太懂

NO.PZ2020033001000033

问题如下:

In May of 2005, General Motors and Ford was downgraded to junk status, the following situation led to huge losses for multiple hedge funds. Which of the following positions are most likely to be held by these funds and ultimately lead to their losses?

选项:

A.

Long the equity tranche of the CDO and short the mezzanine tranche of the CDO, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO decreased.

B.

Long the equity tranche of the CDO and short the mezzanine tranche of the CDO, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO increased.

C.

Short the equity tranche of the CDO and long the mezzanine tranche of the CDO, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO decreased.

D.

Short the equity tranche of the CDO and long the mezzanine tranche of the CDO, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO increased.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:2005年的correlation-related crisis

解析:降级为垃圾级通常会导致债券价格急剧下跌,因为许多共同基金和养老基金不允许持有垃圾债券,CDO中引用投资级债券的债券的相关性下降,因为不同信用质量的债券的相关性通常较低,相关性下降导致对冲基金蒙受巨大损失,因为他们的策略是long equity的CDO的同时short mezzanine的CDO,相关性下降时这策略两端都受损。

市场不好 即 recession的时候不是correlation变大么?麻烦老师讲一下 senior mezzanine equity 分别随市场表现如何变化呗?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa27 · 2024年02月20日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这个题问的是2005年发生的情况,2005年属于危机早期,早期的时候,信用评级机构下调一些公司的评级,导致人人出于避险心理纷纷fly to quality, 这样CDO3个层级的相关性下降,因为好的更好,坏的没人投。

到了2007-2008危机后期的时候,此时危机严重,大家都在违约,因为都在违约,没有什么不同,所以CDO的3个层级的相关性上升。

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