NO.PZ2020021204000037
问题如下:
The Eurodollar futures price for a contract that matures in three years is 95.75. The standard deviation of the change in the short rate in one year is 0.8%. Estimate the continuously compounded forward rate between three and 3.25 years.
解释:
The actual/360 futures rate is 100 - 95.75 = 4.25. This is 4.25 X 365/360 = 4.3090% on an actual/actual basis.
This rate is compounded quarterly. The rate with continuous compounding is 4 X ln(1 + 0.043090/4) = 0.042860
or 4.2860%. The convexity adjustment is 0.5 X 0.0082 X 3 X 3.25 = 0.000312
An estimate of the continuously compounded forward rate is therefore:
0.042860 - 0.000312 = 0.042548 or 4.255%.
是因为ED期货都是90天的合约,所以都是money market instruments ,所以得出来的future interest rate 就是基本actual/360吗?但如果是这,为什么当转换成actual/actual时,为什么是乘以365/360,而不是乘以360/365呢?明明不是分子都是actual, 区别在于分母吗?