开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

worldcup · 2024年02月06日

yield curve strategy里关于yield curve twist的策略

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202112010200000103

问题如下:

Assume the manager is able to extend her mandate by adding derivatives strategies to the three portfolio alternatives.

The best way to position her portfolio to benefit from a bear flattening scenario is to combine a:

选项:

A.

2-year receive-fixed Australian dollar (AUD) swap with the same money duration as the bullet portfolio.

B.

2-year pay-fixed AUD swap with twice the money duration as the 2-year government bond in the barbell portfolio.

C.

9-year receive-fixed AUD swap with twice the money duration as the 9-year government bond position in the equally weighted portfolio.

解释:

B is correct. A bear flattening scenario is a decrease in the yield spread between long- and short-term maturities driven by higher short-term rates. The manager must therefore position her portfolio to benefit from rising short-term yields.

Under A, the receive-fixed 2-year swap is a synthetic long position, increasing portfolio duration that will result in an MTM loss under bear flattening. The receive-fixed swap in answer C will increase duration in long-term maturities.
In the case of B, the pay-fixed swap with twice the money duration of the barbell will more than offset the existing long position, resulting in net short 2-year and long 9-year bond positions in the overall portfolio and a gain under bear flattening.


想问一下yield curve strategy里关于yield curve twist的策略,是duration占主导,还是long/short 长期和短期债券占主导。


这道题bear flattening,想到策略是long LT(长期),short 短期(ST);这样的话B和C都可以。


而解题思路上,这道题又以duration为主,因为是bear flattening,所以要降低duration。。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa015 · 2024年02月07日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


本题考察收益率曲线变动下的主动管理策略:

是以duration为主的,如果曲线是bear的,那么降低duration的策略最好;如果曲线是full的,那么增加duration的策略最好。

在duration neutral策略下:

如果预期收益率曲线bear flatten,则短期上涨多,长期上涨少,我们应该short短期,long长期;

如果预期收益率曲线bull flatten,则短期下降少,长期下降多,我们应该short 短期,long长期;

如果预期收益率曲线bear steepen,则短期上涨少,长期上涨多,我们应该long 短期,short 长期;

如果预期收益率曲线bull steepen,则短期下降多,长期下降少,我们应该long 短期,short长期。

在更加激进的策略下:

如果预期收益率曲线bear flatten,我们应该多short短期,少long长期,让portfolio duration变小。

如果预期收益率曲线bull flatten,我们应该少short 短期,多long长期,让portfolio duration变大。

如果预期收益率曲线bear steepen,我们应该少long 短期,多short 长期,让portfolio duration变小。

如果预期收益率曲线bull steepen,我们应该多long 短期,少short长期,让portfolio duration变大。

 

本题说bear flatten,所以应该是short 2年期,Long9年期,同时,由于收益率曲线向上移动,应该让Portfolio duration下降才会收益最大化,也就是最好多short 2年期,少long 9年期。

A选项,在bullet portfolio基础上long 2year receive fixed swap,增加了2年期duration,不正确。

B选项,在barbell portfolio基础上,long 2倍于现有barbell中2年期国债的2年期pay fixed swap,降低了2年期duration,正确。

C选项,在equally portfolio基础上,long2倍于现有9年期国债的9年期receive fixed swap,增加了9年期duration,与前面说的少long 9年期的策略不符,不正确。

----------------------------------------------
努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

  • 1

    回答
  • 0

    关注
  • 215

    浏览
相关问题

NO.PZ202112010200000103 问题如下 Assume the manager isable to extenher mante aing rivatives strategies to the three portfolioalternatives. The best wto position her portfolio to benefitfrom a bearflattening scenariois to combine A.2-yereceive-fixeAustralill(AUswwith the samemoney rationthe bullet portfolio. B.2-yepay-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 2-yegovernment bonin the barbell portfolio. C.9-yereceive-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 9-yegovernment bonposition in the equally weighteportfolio. B is correct. A bearflattening scenario is a crease in the yielsprebetween long-anshort-term maturities iven higher short-term rates. The managermust therefore positionher portfolio to benefit from rising short-term yiel.Unr thereceive-fixe2-yeswis a synthetic long position, increasing portfolioration thwill result in MTM loss unr beflattening. Thereceive-fixeswinanswer C will increase ration in long-term maturities.In the case of thepay-fixeswwith twithe money ration of the barbell will more thanoffset the existing long position, resulting in net short 2-yeanlong 9-yebonositions in the overall portfolio ana gain unr beflattening. 我的解题思路是由于是beflattening,—— 因此对债整体不好,利率都是上升的,—— 因此短期利率上升快,长期上升慢 —— 因此应该卖短期。我的思路卡顿了,请老师帮忙一下,谢谢。另外,有几个问题如下看了答案,1)这里是如何联想到ration的?2)为何利率都是上升,但这里却需要long 长期呢?3)和barbell和bullet有什么关系呢? 谢谢

2024-05-04 15:19 2 · 回答

NO.PZ202112010200000103 问题如下 Assume the manager isable to extenher mante aing rivatives strategies to the three portfolioalternatives. The best wto position her portfolio to benefitfrom a bearflattening scenariois to combine A.2-yereceive-fixeAustralill(AUswwith the samemoney rationthe bullet portfolio. B.2-yepay-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 2-yegovernment bonin the barbell portfolio. C.9-yereceive-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 9-yegovernment bonposition in the equally weighteportfolio. B is correct. A bearflattening scenario is a crease in the yielsprebetween long-anshort-term maturities iven higher short-term rates. The managermust therefore positionher portfolio to benefit from rising short-term yiel.Unr thereceive-fixe2-yeswis a synthetic long position, increasing portfolioration thwill result in MTM loss unr beflattening. Thereceive-fixeswinanswer C will increase ration in long-term maturities.In the case of thepay-fixeswwith twithe money ration of the barbell will more thanoffset the existing long position, resulting in net short 2-yeanlong 9-yebonositions in the overall portfolio ana gain unr beflattening. beflatten,短期r上涨大于长期r 所以应该是短期降低ration长期增加ration?然后方向的话感觉B和C 都对,如果判断一个更合适的话应该是B,那么这个两倍的money ration是怎么得出来的呢?C 是怎么排除掉的呢?我的思考方式是对的吗?

2023-12-24 18:30 1 · 回答

NO.PZ202112010200000103 问题如下 A Syey-baseixeincome portfolio manager is consiring the following Commonwealthof Australia government bon traon the ASX (AustraliStoExchange): The manager isconsiring portfolio strategies baseupon various interest rate scenariosover the next 12 months. She is consiring three long-only governmentbonportfolioalternatives, follows:Bullet: Invest solely in 4.5-yegovernment bonBarbell: Invest equally in 2-yean9-yegovernment bonEquweights: Invest equally in 2-year, 4.5-year, an9-yebon Assume the manager isable to extenher mante aing rivatives strategies to the three portfolioalternatives. The best wto position her portfolio to benefitfrom a bearflattening scenariois to combine A.2-yereceive-fixeAustralill(AUswwith the samemoney rationthe bullet portfolio. B.2-yepay-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 2-yegovernment bonin the barbell portfolio. C.9-yereceive-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 9-yegovernment bonposition in the equally weighteportfolio. B is correct. A bearflattening scenario is a crease in the yielsprebetween long-anshort-term maturities iven higher short-term rates. The managermust therefore positionher portfolio to benefit from rising short-term yiel.Unr thereceive-fixe2-yeswis a synthetic long position, increasing portfolioration thwill result in MTM loss unr beflattening. Thereceive-fixeswinanswer C will increase ration in long-term maturities.In the case of thepay-fixeswwith twithe money ration of the barbell will more thanoffset the existing long position, resulting in net short 2-yeanlong 9-yebonositions in the overall portfolio ana gain unr beflattening. 2-yepay-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 2-yegovernment bonin the barbell portfolio.知道要 2-yepay-fixe后半句不是特别理解,是用 2-yegovernment bonin the barbell portfolio 构建的意思吗?可否详细讲一下

2023-08-08 21:45 2 · 回答

NO.PZ202112010200000103 问题如下 Assume the manager isable to extenher mante aing rivatives strategies to the three portfolioalternatives. The best wto position her portfolio to benefitfrom a bearflattening scenariois to combine A.2-yereceive-fixeAustralill(AUswwith the samemoney rationthe bullet portfolio. B.2-yepay-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 2-yegovernment bonin the barbell portfolio. C.9-yereceive-fixeAUswwith twithe money ration the 9-yegovernment bonposition in the equally weighteportfolio. B is correct. A bearflattening scenario is a crease in the yielsprebetween long-anshort-term maturities iven higher short-term rates. The managermust therefore positionher portfolio to benefit from rising short-term yiel.Unr thereceive-fixe2-yeswis a synthetic long position, increasing portfolioration thwill result in MTM loss unr beflattening. Thereceive-fixeswinanswer C will increase ration in long-term maturities.In the case of thepay-fixeswwith twithe money ration of the barbell will more thanoffset the existing long position, resulting in net short 2-yeanlong 9-yebonositions in the overall portfolio ana gain unr beflattening. 为何中的意思貌似是long barbel呢?

2023-07-03 22:31 1 · 回答