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纯圆圆 · 2024年02月04日

他选股的方式非常统一

NO.PZ2023010903000060

问题如下:

Richard Rizzitano is the new CIO of Big Time Management Company, an investment company established by Big Time University (BTU) to manage the university's endowment. Today, Rizzitano is meeting with Anthony Swanson, the founder of Americana Capital. Americana is a US large-cap equity manager with SI billion in assets under management (AUM). Swanson manages the firm's Legends Fund, one of the best performers in its category over the last ten years. BTU's endowment has committed $25 million to the Legends Fund, and Rizzitano wants to learn more about Swanson's investment philosophy and strategy.

The meeting begins with Rizzitano asking Swanson to explain his investment philosophy and portfolio construction process. Swanson tells Rizzitano he believes strongly that only high-quality companies outperform the benchmark over a long horizon. As such, Swanson's process involves screening the S&P 500 to identify the seventy-five highest-quality companies in the index. This includes research activities such as reviewing historical SEC filings, meeting with company management and interviewing key constituents. To calculate a company's intrinsic value, Swanson then develops a financial model and projects five years of free cash flow for all seventy-five companies. The intrinsic value is compared to the current market price for each company. The forty names trading at the largest discount to their fair value are then included in the portfolio.

Classify Swanson's approach to portfolio construction. Justify your response with two supporting reasons.

选项:

解释:

Answer:

Swanson's approach should be classified as discretionary and bottom-up.

On the systematic vs. discretionary spectrum, his approach is best described as discretionary, given the concentrated nature of the portfolio, the relatively small subset of securities examined and the focus on developing a greater depth of understanding of company fundamentals.

On the top-down vs. bottom-up spectrum, his approach is best described as bottom-up, given its emphasis on company-specific factors and investment style (quality).

To calculate a company's intrinsic value, Swanson then develops a financial model and projects five years of free cash flow for all seventy-five companies


为什么是 discretionary 呢?我感觉是 systematic 到底哪里理解错了?因为 Swanson 用了一个金融模型来筛选和评估 500 个股票 其中跳出了 75 只进一步投资。。这个跟 discretionary 那种一只一只看感觉差很多

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笛子_品职助教 · 2024年02月05日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


为什么是 discretionary 呢?我感觉是 systematic 到底哪里理解错了?因为 Swanson 用了一个金融模型来筛选和评估 500 个股票 其中跳出了 75 只进一步投资。。这个跟 discretionary 那种一只一只看感觉差很多

Hello,亲爱的同学~

systematic是指量化投资,由计算机程序自动分析和执行交易,不需要人做主观判断。

而且量化交易,计算机只会通过历史和现在的数据做交易,计算机不会预测未来的数据。


而我们看这一句:

To calculate a company's intrinsic value, Swanson then develops a financial model and projects five years of free cash flow for all seventy-five companies

为了计算一个公司的内在价值,Sawanson开发了一个财务模型,并用这个财务蘑模型预测未来5年的现金流。

可见:我们可以联系二级学过的现金流折现模型DCF。

swanson实际上是开发了一个基于指标的财务预测模型,然后用它预测未来的数据。最后用预测的现金流,进行折现,来对公司进行估值,找出公司的内在价值。

预测,是需要人主观来做判断的。这里是主观交易。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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