开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

Darkblanca · 2024年01月31日

题目题干都不写清楚

NO.PZ2022123002000020

问题如下:

Gehlot asks Chlapowski to provide input regarding foreign exchange management. Chlapowski presents spot and forward rates in Exhibit 3. She also states:

Statement 1: A positive roll yield could be created in Dong’s portfolio by selling a USD/EUR forward contract.

Statement 2: A positive roll yield could be created in Dong’s portfolio by selling a CHF/USD forward contract.

Exhibit 3 Spot and Forward Rates

Identify which of Chlapowski’s statements is most likely to be correct based on the information provided in Exhibit 3. Calculate the forward premium or discount for each statement.

解释:

Correct Answer:

Statement 1 is correct.

Dong’s portfolio is 45% invested in German assets. USD/EUR is selling at a forward premium of 5.3% compared to the current spot rate. Dong can sell the base currency at a higher price than the current spot rate, creating a positive roll yield.

Forward premium = (1.2/1.14) – 1 = 5.3%

Statement 2 is incorrect.

CHF/USD is not in direct quote format, so the quote must be converted into a direct quote to calculate forward premium or discount.

USD/CHF spot rate = 0.99

USD/CHF six-month forward rate = 0.952

USD/CHF is trading at a discount of 3.83% and selling CHF would create a negative roll yield for Dong’s portfolio.

Forward discount = (0.952/0.99) – 1 = 3.83%

经典题拆分就拆分,信息都不给全,质量真差

1 个答案

pzqa35 · 2024年01月31日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这道题考察的是roll yield在什么情况下为正,什么情况下为负。那么这种一个是要看long还是short的position,另外一个就是看本币和外币的一个报价形式。

这道题同学觉得不够完整是有一定道理的哈,因为题目中提到了Dong’s portfolio,但是我们没有具体给出这个portfolio的具体情况,这个确实是不够完整的哈,同学在正式考试中是不会出现这种情况的哈。

那么虽然这道题没有给出portfolio的具体情况,但是我们可以看到表3中的报价都有USD,那么USD就应该是本币,其余的都是外币的。同时statement中也告诉了我们相应的头寸都是short。

那么对于statement1,报价形式为USD/EUR, 我们可以看到EUR是一个contango的状态,那么对于short方而言,roll yield就是positive的,所以statement1是正确的。

对于statement2,报价形式为CHF/USD,这个是一个非直接的标价方法,那么我们可以看到此时美元是处于contango的状态,那么对应的就是CHF是一个backwardation的状态,因为外汇市场上一切都是相对的。那么此时如果short CHF,那么roll yield就是negative的,所以statement2是错误的说法。

对于这道题,我们可以重点掌握一下解题思路,就是一看头寸,二看报价方式,最终来判断roll yield的情况,当然同学的意见也很宝贵,我们后续也会进行相应的改进哈。

 

----------------------------------------------
加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

  • 1

    回答
  • 1

    关注
  • 461

    浏览
相关问题

NO.PZ2022123002000020 问题如下 Gehlot asks Chlapowski toprovi input regarng foreign exchange management. Chlapowski presents spotanforwarrates in Exhibit 3. She also states:Statement 1: A positive roll yielcoulcreatein ng’s portfolio byselling a USEUR forwarcontract.Statement 2: A positive roll yielcoulcreatein ng’s portfolio byselling a CHF/USforwarcontract.Exhibit 3 Spot anForwarRatesIntify whiofChlapowski’s statements is most likely to correbaseon the informationproviin Exhibit 3. Calculate the forwarpremium or scount foreastatement. CorreAnswer: Statement 1 iscorrect.ng’s portfoliois 45% investein Germassets. USEUR is selling a forwarpremium of 5.3%compareto the current spot rate. ng csell the base currena higherpriththe current spot rate, creating a positive roll yielForwarpremium =(1.2/1.14) – 1 = 5.3%Statement 2 is incorrect.CHF/USis not inrequote format, so the quote must converteinto a requote to calculateforwarpremium or scount.USCHF spot rate= 0.99USCHF six-monthforwarrate = 0.952USCHF is tranga scount of 3.83% anselling CHF woulcreate a negative roll yielforng’s portfolio.Forwarscount =(0.952/0.99) – 1 = 3.83% 视频讲解中,老师直接把Short CHF/US汇率形式改成了USCHF,以符合投资人持有的是CHF资产。但Short CHF/USforwarcontract是在未来按照一定的汇率卖出US同时买入CHF),那应该等价于Long USCHF forwarcontract,在未来按照一定的汇率买入CHF(同时卖出US。如果上面所说的对的,那题目中的人持有的是CHF资产,但是hee的时候交易错方向了。转换成U/CHF的格式,就是Long CHF forwaragainst USlong forwarroll yiel(S0-F)/S0=(1/1.01-1/1.05)/(1/1.01)=3.81%,结果变成了收益。而且即便不通过上面的转换,直接看题干,Spot rate1.01CHF/USForwar.05CHF/US同时还是short (CHF/US,怎么看都是收益。

2024-08-01 15:20 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2022123002000020 问题如下 Gehlot asks Chlapowski toprovi input regarng foreign exchange management. Chlapowski presents spotanforwarrates in Exhibit 3. She also states:Statement 1: A positive roll yielcoulcreatein ng’s portfolio byselling a USEUR forwarcontract.Statement 2: A positive roll yielcoulcreatein ng’s portfolio byselling a CHF/USforwarcontract.Exhibit 3 Spot anForwarRatesIntify whiofChlapowski’s statements is most likely to correbaseon the informationproviin Exhibit 3. Calculate the forwarpremium or scount foreastatement. CorreAnswer: Statement 1 iscorrect.ng’s portfoliois 45% investein Germassets. USEUR is selling a forwarpremium of 5.3%compareto the current spot rate. ng csell the base currena higherpriththe current spot rate, creating a positive roll yielForwarpremium =(1.2/1.14) – 1 = 5.3%Statement 2 is incorrect.CHF/USis not inrequote format, so the quote must converteinto a requote to calculateforwarpremium or scount.USCHF spot rate= 0.99USCHF six-monthforwarrate = 0.952USCHF is tranga scount of 3.83% anselling CHF woulcreate a negative roll yielforng’s portfolio.Forwarscount =(0.952/0.99) – 1 = 3.83% 所以Statement 2里面应该是Sell USCHF,对吗?这样才可以判断出statement 2 incorrect。

2023-08-27 15:45 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2022123002000020 问题如下 Gehlot asks Chlapowski toprovi input regarng foreign exchange management. Chlapowski presents spotanforwarrates in Exhibit 3. She also states:Statement 1: A positive roll yielcoulcreatein ng’s portfolio byselling a USEUR forwarcontract.Statement 2: A positive roll yielcoulcreatein ng’s portfolio byselling a CHF/USforwarcontract.Exhibit 3 Spot anForwarRatesIntify whiofChlapowski’s statements is most likely to correbaseon the informationproviin Exhibit 3. Calculate the forwarpremium or scount foreastatement. CorreAnswer: Statement 1 iscorrect.ng’s portfoliois 45% investein Germassets. USEUR is selling a forwarpremium of 5.3%compareto the current spot rate. ng csell the base currena higherpriththe current spot rate, creating a positive roll yielForwarpremium =(1.2/1.14) – 1 = 5.3%Statement 2 is incorrect.CHF/USis not inrequote format, so the quote must converteinto a requote to calculateforwarpremium or scount.USCHF spot rate= 0.99USCHF six-monthforwarrate = 0.952USCHF is tranga scount of 3.83% anselling CHF woulcreate a negative roll yielforng’s portfolio.Forwarscount =(0.952/0.99) – 1 = 3.83% 第2个statement的答案和题目的数据不一致,第2个statement应该也是correct

2023-06-30 23:01 1 · 回答