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youtkr · 2024年01月25日

什么时候包含PODXLGD,这项要乘t吗

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202112010200001903

问题如下:

Which bond rating category offers the highest expected excess return if spreads instantaneously rise 10% across all ratings categories?

选项:

A.

A rated bond category

B.

BBB rated bond category

C.

BB rated bond category

解释:

A is correct. If spreads rise 10% across all ratings categories, we can use

E[ExcessSpread] ≈ Spread0 –(EffSpreadDur × ΔSpread) – (POD × LGD) to solve

for expected excess spread as follows:


如题

2 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa31 · 2024年01月26日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这个就是最常规的用expected excess return公式来计算,当然要加POD*LGD


POD*LGD需要乘以时间t。如果投资期是0.5年的话,t=0.5,计算Expected excess return就是:

Expected excess return = spread0 × 0.5 - Spread duration × △Spread + LGD × PD × 0.5

这是一般情况计算Return。Spread0与LGD×PD都需要乘以t。


但有一种特殊情况,就是,如果题干说Spread发生瞬时改变(instantenously),此时我们理解t=0,这时候让计算Expected excess return,LGD × PD就不要乘以时间t,只有Spread0需要乘以t,计算式子就是:

Expected excess return = spread0 × 0 - Spread duration × △Spread + LGD × PD = - Spread duration × △Spread + LGD × PD

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

Felix Young · 2024年02月05日

EXR公式里是 【+ LGD × PD】吗?不是【- LGD × PD】吗?

pzqa31 · 2024年02月06日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


是的,如果给的是正数就减,负数就加。

----------------------------------------------
加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

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