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B_Pang · 2024年01月19日

如果没有A,cash matching 和 duration matching 应该选哪个

NO.PZ2023032703000030

问题如下:

Beatriz Maestre is a fixed-income consultant who has been retained by Filipe Ruelas, the CFO of Cávado Produtos Agricolas, SA (Cávado). Cávado is a manufacturer of prepared foods headquartered in Braga, Portugal.

At a second meeting, Ruelas tells Maestre about a EUR22 million bond issue Cávado would like to retire. The issue is currently rated A–, and credit spreads for that rating are relatively high. Ruelas expects spreads to narrow in the future as the economy improves and as Cávado’s performance for the coming year is factored into markets. The bond is closely held by two investment funds, and Ruelas feels they would be willing to sell their bond exposure at a small premium over the market price. Ruelas also feels Cávado’s auditors would permit accounting defeasement if Cávado purchased a portfolio of high-quality government bonds whose cash flow characteristics closely matched the Cávado bonds or if it purchased a portfolio of corporate bonds with similar duration and convexity characteristics and higher yields. Maestre recommends a strategy for retiring the bond.

Which of the following strategies would Maestre most likely recommend for retiring the Cávado bond?

选项:

A.

Bond tender offer

B.

Cash flow matching with government bonds

C.

Duration matching with corporate bonds

解释:

A is correct. Because the outstanding bond issue can likely be purchased for a small premium over market value, there is no reason to engage in a more complicated and likely more expensive retirement process using a cash flow-matching or duration-matching strategy.

在助教回答的答案中,有说选cash matching的,因为accounting defensement, 有说不选cash matching的因为未来spread变小,价格变高。

我理解如果持有到期的话,cash matching的价格回归本金,不受spread变化影响吧?

1 个答案

pzqa31 · 2024年01月19日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学说的有道理,因为标准的Cash flow matching策略,其实是一个Held-to-maturity的策略。

所有用来偿还负债的现金流,都是来自债券现金流的自然流入。Coupon不需要进行再投资,也不需要提前卖出债券(资产自然到期),Coupon与债券自然到期的本金现金流构成偿还负债的现金流,且现金流流入,与偿还负债现金流流出在同一时刻发生。

所以在期初构建好Cash flow yield时,期间就不用调整了。


但是存在一种情况,需要调整,就是随着市场环境的改变,Available bonds发生变化,即可用来选做Cash flow matching的债券池子发生变动,市场上可能会有新的债券出现,同样能做Cash flow matching,且价格更低,此时就可能用这个价格更低的债券替换原来做CFM的债券。这时候如果债券价格上涨,成本就高了,我理解助教老师说的是这个意思。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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